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Mega Thread The Autumn ground cooling thread!

Discussion in 'Weather' started by DiscoStuAU, Mar 1, 2018.

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  1. Red_switch

    Red_switch Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    So the last time the Southern Lakes got good May snow like this was back in 2016...

    The frequent intense cold fronts are great (and align with the seasonal guidance), but SST's are still up all around NZ.
     
  2. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  3. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Coronet turnoff this morning
     
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  4. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    It’s all part of the finely balanced conditions we need for snow in our maritime climate though isn’t it Red? It’s the current elevated SSTs in the Tasman that are piling moisture into the cold air that’s getting churned up from the Southern Ocean. It could just as easily been a few degrees warmer and solid rain at all elevations.
     
  5. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    FWIW I’m a bit fed up with all the cold and wet now. Some sun would be great.
     
  6. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    The fact you've had a stationary high with a train track to the polar belt has helped a bit.
    Much like NZ all summer . A massive ridge plonked in a specific place...
     
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  7. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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  8. Red_switch

    Red_switch Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    I'm actually doing a bit of work on this at the moment. And yes, for snow falls, you are right. But for persistence of snow cover on the ground, warm temperatures are really not what we want all. i.e., it can snow plenty as the fronts come through, but if the temps are too high it's just not going to hang around. A quick look at 16 years of recent data suggests that may snow falls are not a great predictor of the eventual ski season duration.
     
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  9. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  10. telecrag

    telecrag Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    If cold fronts were supposed to hit WA, the mountains would be over that side!
     
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  11. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Yes of course, it was the biggest high pressure system on the planet for a while.
     
  12. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    There's Bluff Knoll?
     
  13. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    I googled that. 1100 asl.
     
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  14. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    It’s on snow-forecast.com too. There will be plans for a gondola next.
     
  15. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  16. iagreewithhim

    iagreewithhim One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    It's raining in Fremantle! About ****in time. Oh wait...
     
  17. iagreewithhim

    iagreewithhim One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Stopped raining. Come on!
     
  18. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    I look forward to speaking with the family down south... I love a good Perth / Southern WA cold front, they always pack a punch
     
  19. gareth_oau

    gareth_oau Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    nice snap of Perth

     
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  20. Rabid K9

    Rabid K9 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Lots of "sky is falling, sky is falling" in southern WA, but good to see a decent front again. Sub 992hPa at closest station!! Tomorrow will be blustery. Took a solid one to dislodge that stubborn bastard of a blocking high that has been plaguing the country.

    Urgently required rain, 40mm since 1800 tonight already, good start. Yesterday fuel reduction burning in closed eucalypt forest on south aspect, 25 degrees, 35% RH, moderate northerly winds, beautiful clean burn but scarily dry, 300mm of ground level fuel load in some areas, crackling dry all the way through.

    So many private burns escaping in last two weeks, local fire ban in force for today with the increasing winds. Parents in a local VBFB, have been on non stop nightly call outs to escaped burns.
     
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  21. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  22. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Arrived in Myrtleford at the in-laws place. For the last time might I add... No more gazing out at Mt Buffalo from the kitchen window or wandering through the Alpine creeks as they've sold it.

    Anyway. Very much feels like early autumn here, warm in the sun with lots of trees in full colour / shedding leaves .

    Up the hill tomorrow to Falls .
     
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  23. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Looking up at Coronet today it looked as good as I’ve ever seen it, totally loaded and ready to go.
     
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  24. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Sunset scenes from the in-laws house for the final time. Feels like it'll be a cool evening in Myrt.
     
  25. Wally

    Wally One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Anyone care to predict any rainfall in the Mitta Catchment between this Sunday to Wednesday? I'm up there paddling for the week and it normally takes a good 8-10 hours for any stream rises to occur. Our students will no doubt have frozen wetsuits most mornings! Haha
     
  26. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Big ol temperature inversion down here on the valley this morning. When I got up at 7 it was -1 on the outside thermometer at the house in Myrt and at Hotham was it was 4c
     
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  27. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Was the same in these parts. Below zero st home. A bit of frost on the ground and water troughs frozen over. But I note that PV had an inversion and much warmer than here this morn. It’s such a clear still morning as well.

     
  28. Snowy Joey

    Snowy Joey One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Stunning day today out in western port. Last day fishing for the season.
     
  29. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Very slow lazy rotation :(
     
  30. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    WeatherWatch thinks there’s still a bit of snow to come this weekend
     
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  31. Red_switch

    Red_switch Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    jeeezus christ, their graphics are horrible eh.
     
  32. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  33. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Arrived at falls creek. Tiny amount of snow on the peaks but nothing left otherwise.

    Cracker of a sunset tonight... 3c currently.
     
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  34. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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  35. ScottGN

    ScottGN One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    I think it’s the Weather Channel?
     
  36. Red_switch

    Red_switch Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: 30 Day

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    Is it? Either way, PD doesn't do himself many favours.
     
  37. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Slightly overcast morning today at falls creek, not overly cold - looks like we had another inversion overnight. Today will be a hiking day if the weather plays ball.

     
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  38. 2cool

    2cool Hard Yards

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  39. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    We wandered on up to Mt Mackay, clouds have been rolling in as the day wares on. Breezy up at the summit and it probably was about 6 or 7c with a 0 windchill. Elevation 1,842 for those not in the know....

     
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  40. MarkV

    MarkV One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Love your photos. Keep up the good work.
     
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  41. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Thank you :)
     
  42. TomGroggon

    TomGroggon One of Us

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    Looks good at 330 hours out snow to 300 m I wish one to watch.LOL
     
  43. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    GEFS 12z and EC ensembles are interested in the 7-9 June Period. Latest GEFS is all over the shop.
     
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  44. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Large ring around the moon in Newcastle atm.
     
  45. fmdc9

    fmdc9 Hard Yards

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    too early for a winter thread or does that wait for the 21st?
     
  46. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    That would be started in Winter, typically on the 1st of June. Gotta wait until Friday :).
     
  47. Stephen Allen

    Stephen Allen Addicted

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    Reminds me of May 2000.
     
  48. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Push harder EC
     
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  49. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Another cracking day today up at falls creek. Cloudy morning and now clearing to a sunny arvo. Crisp air in the shade and wind but otherwise lovely. In all my years of coming up at the end of May / beginning of June this is definitely the mildest I can recall...

    Oh and this was the last remaining snow we found in the village up by the aqueduct trail...
     
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  50. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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    Antarctica has been a continent of two halves lately - Western half is very cold, Eastern half is warm. I think we'll have another 2 or 3 weeks of anti-cyclonic domination over SE Australia before it breaks down with powerful fronts ripping through.
     
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