Mega Thread The Autumn (SDS Season) Chatter Thread

Gfs is going gangbusters for next thurs and fri for precipitation and cold on the run I just looked at . Let's hope it sticks

 

left side cold pool drifter

 

yep.
for all its worth the ensembles show a cutoff at 35 south

 

yeah there is , but the trends are a cutoff at 35 south imo

 

gfs and access charts looking similar for thurs fri next week . do the boffins think that this is a good sign ab

 

Looking at the NSW cams, it's a gorgeous morning in the resorts and... Perisher has the guns blazing again!!!

 

The Bom 4 day is calling a more realistic setup than yesterday but let's see what this arvo brings.

The high SW of WA should hopefully allow for a cold air infusion into the low so If the Low can hold its latitude as it heads to tas then in might be game on for a wandering cold pool.

The position of the Tasman high is the game breaker for me though. It should force the low south meaning we miss any goodness it can dish out.

 

Dude your profile pics scares me

 

what a view in May!!!!

 

Sadly this will be a mid season shot in a few years time .

 

WTF people were saying this 15 yrs ago and besides it's only mid may FFS

 

It's pretty obvious to anyone who skis that the seasons are becoming less and less reliable. Sadly, for snowsports I think by the time I'm old enough to retire there won't be much to ski for any length of time except above 1900-2000m in this country. You only need to look at the snow depth trends that are posted fairly regularly on this forum in the weather section.....

 

Integral snow depth is looking much worse, as well as pwak depth at lower levels. We'll still get relatively high peak depths for some time to come, after big cold systems, but after each system the snow won't stick around.

 

Is that Mt Kosciuszko? If so then from now on Coronet Peak cams are going to feature various shots of Aoraki-Mt Cook.

 

ummm bro

 

ummm what bro?

 

Thats a big lens to see the cloud piercer from CP

 

Haha. You can see Aoraki from the summit of Treble Cone on a clear day however!

 

Interestingly, if you look at 15 year blocks, ALL 3 from 1954 had 7 two metre or above peaks, so roughly half were average to great. The last 15, 1990-2014, there was only 2 quite high peaks. 2000 (yeah baby!), and 1996 (pee eye em peeee!). The 1954-1989 period was punctuated with a few beauties not seen of late. 2006-2014 have been consistently meh, besides the odd mega dumpage in July IMO (#powerade/goggle/ruler)

 

Gonna snow this week

 

It would be nice

 

Of course it's going to snow this week. The question is where?

 

....and a red sky morning....

 

From my man:

One of the major forecasting roles at the Bureau of Meteorology is forecasting for the aviation industry. Here is a glimpse at what the Aviation forecasting desk looks like within the Victoria Regional Forecasting Centre. The wall mounted monitors display one minute data from 84 automatic weather stations situated around the State, while the graphs show cloud height and visibility at the 20 airports that we forecast for including Melbourne Airport.

 

Looks epic.
but man I hate green on black screens
my eyes.

 

spag going for a HUGE cutoff around then. Might be cold enough to really perform.

 

Meanwhile, at Mt Cook Village: "There was almost 500mm of rain in the village last week...Around 7 metres of snow would have fallen on the main divide above about 3000m."

 

I'm seeing a big pineapple at the end of the month.

 

Do you even Japan?

 

60cm

 

Hmm.

 

What is a pineapple? is that good or bad? Should we be drinking Pina Coladas or waxing our skis??

 

Warm n wet.
"pineapple express"
canadian term

 

ie dank kush

 

Rain and lots of it. Good for the farmers bad for the skiers.
Its only May

 

whats a Frog?

 

In all seriousness.
It shows a fallacy of long range forecasting .
Its pointless.
If people book holidays around that, its pretty ridiculous