The coming Japanese season 2013-2014 weather

Sandy

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Typhoon Man-yi is probably a couple of hours away here, close to making a direct hit on Tokyo.

In Yokohama, the wind is quite strong, and while it's raining, it's not heavy just yet. Some places have recorded 150mm overnight in central Japan.
 

Born2ski

Old n' Crusty
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Batten down the hatches Sandy.

In Australia a cyclone is likely to mean power outages and significant damage to buildings. What does it mean for Tokyo ? Will you lose power ?
 

Sandy

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Born2ski said:
Batten down the hatches Sandy.

In Australia a cyclone is likely to mean power outages and significant damage to buildings. What does it mean for Tokyo ? Will you lose power ?

By the time it gets this far north, the storm has lost a lot of its power. You have to remember, Tokyo is about as far north as Canberra is south, and they don't get too many cyclones there!!!!
wink.gif


So I reckon it won't be too bad. Currently it's blowing at around 105kph, and pressure is about 990hPa, while it's closer to 965hPa further west.

It should mostly pass by 3-4pm I reckon, at which time might venture out and take some photos, as the visibility is generally crystal clear after a typhoon!!!!
wink.gif
 
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Sandy

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So after the typhoon, the skies are crystal clear, and you can see Mt Fuji from just near my place.....
And the overnight low in Yokohama was 19.2, possibly the lowest since late May or early June.
 

Undies

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I sooooooo want to do a year in the hills in Japan just to witness the step-change in seasons that you are at the moment. It's like a switch that flicks from Summer - Autumn - Winter - Spring, with those changes arriving in days rather than weeks. Makes our "4" Aussie seasons look decidedly bland.
 

Sandy

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Undies said:
I sooooooo want to do a year in the hills in Japan just to witness the step-change in seasons that you are at the moment. It's like a switch that flicks from Summer - Autumn - Winter - Spring, with those changes arriving in days rather than weeks. Makes our "4" Aussie seasons look decidedly bland.

We are still in late summer here, but I think the "switch" will kick in soon, to early autumn. And these "switches", there are more like around perhaps 10-12 switches a year or more.

e.g. Tokyo, usually something like:
- Early-> Mid June - late spring
- Mid/Late June-> early /mid July - Rainy season
- Early/mid July-> mid/late July - early summer
- Mid/Late July -> early/mid Sep - mid summer
- Early/mid Sep -> mid/late Sep - late summer & typhoon season
- mid/late Sep -> mid Oct - early autumn.
 
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skiflat

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Are there any good blogs/experts/websites etc for Japan weather for long-range forecasts etc ?
 

smackies

A Local
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It just seems to be snowfall amounts where it fails, no? And by underestimating by a lot.
 

Sandy

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skiflat said:
Are there any good blogs/experts/websites etc for Japan weather for long-range forecasts etc ?

But realistically, you don't need to worry too much.The BEST scenario is winds from NNW or N, that's it.

Forecasts of a low pressure trough/cold front are NOT what you want!!!!!
 
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smackies

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I don't really want to understand.

Donza, smitty, Sandy and verm would all be out of a job.
wink.gif
 
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skiflat

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Thanks Sandy and Smitty

I do recall that Unisys map being quite useful just based on wind direction (from memory)
 

Sandy

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At Nozawa, you can be pretty sure that if a fresh wind blows between NNW & N over 5 days, you will end up with 150cm+ over 3 of those days.
wink.gif


(The other two days could be sunny or snowy!!!!!)
 
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skiflat

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That's almost worth of posting up a Big Kev GIF
wink.gif


biggrin.gif
 
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smackies

A Local
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Actually, to be serious, what other resources would you use for Japan's weather?
 

smitty484

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I look at weatherzone international charts, but really it's just more of the same thing in a different format. Cams, love the hakuba one overlooking the valley, snowjapan daily reports
 

smitty484

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I know this is a bit pedantic, but cortina is the one resort in the valley that actually does a decent early morning report for punters to use to decide if to ride there or not.
 

Sandy

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It's quite cool in Yokohama and Tokyo today.... only got to 24.2

Late summer finally appears to have finished, and now we're into typhoon season, & early autumn by the end of the week. (generally 24-28 degrees for maximums)
 

Vermillion

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Sandy said:
It's quite cool in Yokohama and Tokyo today.... only got to 24.2

Late summer finally appears to have finished, and now we're into typhoon season, & early autumn by the end of the week. (generally 24-28 degrees for maximums)

The typhoon you guys had last week was intense.
 
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Sandy

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Vermillion said:
Sandy said:
It's quite cool in Yokohama and Tokyo today.... only got to 24.2

Late summer finally appears to have finished, and now we're into typhoon season, & early autumn by the end of the week. (generally 24-28 degrees for maximums)

The typhoon you guys had last week was intense.

Wasn't too bad.... wind was strongish, but wasn't huge amounts of rain.

Last year we had one with stronger winds that minced the tree leaves. And one some years back that was a doozy.... gusting up to 160kph+ I reckon, and rain into the several 100s of mm.

Another typhoon heading in tomorrow, but will likely miss us to the south.

This morning was possibly the coolest it's been in Yokohama since early May: 16.9 degrees.
 
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ojisan

station master
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Ahhh.. looks like the seasons are a changing sandy-san
 

ojisan

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skichanger said:
Sandy said:
skichanger said:
What happens to flights? Do I have to worry if transitting Narita on Thursday?

No problem!!!

More information? e.g is the typhoon to far south, gone by then or should I expect some turbulence?

I'd be more worried about finding a snake on the plane causing the flight to be delayed.
 
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Sandy

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skichanger said:
Sandy said:
skichanger said:
What happens to flights? Do I have to worry if transitting Narita on Thursday?

No problem!!!

More information? e.g is the typhoon to far south, gone by then or should I expect some turbulence?

If you're coming in on the 6:30pm Thu flight, it will be 1500km to the east then, and well out of the way.
 
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puglover

First Runs
Jul 27, 2013
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^^hehehe

Fooking hot in Kyushu at the mo. 30+ i'm looking forward to some cooler weather here.
 

Sandy

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puglover said:
^^hehehe

Fooking hot in Kyushu at the mo. 30+ i'm looking forward to some cooler weather here.

That's not hot in Kyushu!!!!!
wink.gif

The average max temp in Fukuoka this July & Aug were 34.0 & 34.5 degrees.

When I say late summer, early autumn, we are still talking 26-28 degrees in Tokyo, so 27-29 is about right for Kyushu. Fukuoka expecting 26 the next couple of days.


How long have you been there in Kyushu???
 
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Sandy

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Toxteth said:
JMA winter forecast is out and it's predicting above average snowfall.

We'll for the places I'm going.

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/longfcst/000_2_30.html

I've never liked these.....

e.g. It shows 40% chance of higher than average snowfall along the Sea of Japan coast, and 80% chance of average or above average. But then it shows a 40% chance of average, or a 60% chance of average or below average!!!!!!

Notice though, that it shows normal for Nagano!!!!!
 
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Sandy

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Another typhoon through a couple of days back. Now the forecast is for 20 degrees today in Tokyo, and 21 tomorrow!!!!!!

The norm will be restored for the rest of the week with 25-27 degrees, but it feels like early autumn for sure!!!!
thumbsup.gif



a big typhoon will graze Okinawa tomorrow.
 
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Sandy

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Sandy said:
Another typhoon through a couple of days back. Now the forecast is for 20 degrees today in Tokyo, and 21 tomorrow!!!!!!

The norm will be restored for the rest of the week with 25-27 degrees, but it feels like early autumn for sure!!!!
thumbsup.gif



a big typhoon will graze Okinawa tomorrow.

Well the big typhoon(Fitow), grazed Okinawa, and headed west into China. Originally, it was expected to head north over southern Japan and hit Korea as a tropical depression. That's the 4th typhoon to hit Japan in the last couple of weeks.

However, an even bigger storm is coming. Typhoon Danas looks like tracking just east of Okinawa and straight up through Kyushu. It's expected to hit Cat 4 (210-245kph), so it's a very strong one!!!

Expected to be Cat 4 just as it passes Okinawa, about 3pm Monday.


Typhoon Fitow on the left, Danas in the middle.
 
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Sandy

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Typhhon Danas is currently gusting to 255kph, sustained winds of 215kph!!!!
eek.gif


Due to come close to Okinawa around 6pm tonight
 
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