Japan The coming Japanese snow season 2017-2018 Weather

[Sandy]

Typhoon Talim has jumped from tropical storm to a Cat 4 typhoon in only 2 days!!!!!

Due to hit southern Japan by Saturday, but likely to have weakened again by then.

Between Taiwan and Okinawa right now.... Huge eye!!!

 

[Sandy]

The eye on Typhoon Talim is almost gone, but there's a huge amount of cloud extending more than 2000km across Japan.

Kyushu is being hammered by rain, and parts of Miyazaki Prefecture has copped a lot of rain... Miyazaki Airport has had 131mm of rain in two hours

 

[Sandy]

Now stretching 3000km out into the Pacific!!!

 

[Sandy]

After some hot days in mid September, looks like it's finally settled down the last week or two with seasonable max temperatures in the mid 20s.
The next quantum step looks like arriving next week from about the 4th Oct, with a string of low 20s temperatures.

 

[Jellybeans]

Looks like a nice cold system is coming through later this week on EC. Winter is coming

 

[Sandy]

Yes, nights going from around 20 degrees down to 14-15 degrees..... the late summer drop (which was late) and the early autumn drop, looks like happening within around 3 weeks of each other. The early autumn drop looks like it's 10-14 days early.

 

[Sandy]

So after a very unusual 29 degrees in Tokyo yesterday, we are expecting 16 degree tomorrow, with a low of 13. Coldest since around April.

 

[bondibob]

So after a very unusual 29 degrees in Tokyo yesterday, we are expecting 16 degree tomorrow, with a low of 13. Coldest since around April.

What are the thoughts generally for the season on Nagano region? I have taken a risk and booked new year period at madarao.

I notice JPA have hedged bets by saying normal conditions expected for the season

 

[ojisan]

I notice JPA have hedged bets by saying normal conditions expected for the season

I'd be more than happy with a normal season in Japan

 

[Sandy]

What are the thoughts generally for the season on Nagano region? I have taken a risk and booked new year period at madarao.

I notice JPA have hedged bets by saying normal conditions expected for the season

Anything normal or slightly below normal is good.

 

[J_-W_-X]

Snow season may ultimately depend on the little fat guy with the sad hair cut
risky area now.


Hokkaido should begin to start accumulating.
https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/hokkaido/snowline/20171013-0900z.html

 

[Jellybeans]

https://goo.gl/HFrx8a
My first winter seasonal outlook for the Northern Hemisphere, including Japan.

Should add that the Siberian High is currently stronger than normal, and forecast to weaken.

Edit: Fixed link.

 

[Sandy]

12.7 degrees in Tokyo and dropping. Coldest since April.

 

[Sandy]

Snow season may ultimately depend on the little fat guy with the sad hair cut
risky area now.

What on earth does this mean?

 

[Vermillion]

What on earth does this mean?

Someone with no clue trying to sound funny?

 

[J_-W_-X]

Someone with no clue trying to sound funny?

No clue lol, says the man who looks @bom plots with cold fronts @12hrs
out and declares it will snow in the vic alps. To funny.

My 6 year old nephew can do that to.

 

[ojisan]

ouch

 

[Sandy]

No clue lol, says the man who looks @bom plots with cold fronts @12hrs
out and declares it will snow in the vic alps. To funny.

My 6 year old nephew can do that to.

You are a new member, so please read the Weather Forum rules.
Similar posts to this will be deleted.

 

[Sandy]

12.7 degrees in Tokyo and dropping. Coldest since April.

11.6 degrees in Tokyo overnight. However, it's nothing like Tokyo winter weather. It's been raining for 5 days in a row.

 

[hatto]

Although it likely wont as a super/typhoon , but it would be really
cool to see a super tear though japan.

why?

 

[Sandy]

Well, 19.5 degrees today in Tokyo, and now expecting a min of 10, max of 12 tomorrow..... crazy weather for October!!!!

 

[Sandy]

And this has to be the wettest October that I've ever seen in Japan, with another 5 days of rain coming....

 

[Donza]

And this has to be the wettest October that I've ever seen in Japan, with another 5 days of rain coming....

And a typhoon

 

[Zimboo]

Surfing................Philippines.

 

[Donza]

Surfing................Philippines.

Cloud nine

 

[Sandy]

And this has to be the wettest October that I've ever seen in Japan, with another 5 days of rain coming....

And a typhoon

Wettest in terms of number of days of rain. It's rained 6 out of the last 7 days.
We will often get a typhoon in October.

 

[Sandy]

Well, 19.5 degrees today in Tokyo, and now expecting a min of 10, max of 12 tomorrow..... crazy weather for October!!!!

10.1 in Tokyo this morning. The daily max will be warmer than 12 degrees, because of the way they measure max/min. In Australia, max is measured from 9am-9pm; on JMA it's measured on calendar day, so it was 12.3 at 12:14am, and that might be the max for the day. A few of days ago, it was similar; around 15 degrees just after midnight, but after 6am, it never got above about 13.

 

[Sandy]

Heh, heh, gotta love a strong October typhoon :

 

[Sandy]

More info on Typhoon Lan can be found in this thread:
https://www.ski.com.au/xf/threads/wpac-typhoon-lan.79660/page-4#post-3416398

I'm hopping that the typhoon will blow the stationary boundary away... it's been persisting for two weeks, with 11 out of 12 days having rain.

 

[M_G]

My observations - http://myoko-nagano.com/la-nina-japan-winter-2018/

JMB saying 50-60%, NOAA saying 55-65% of La Nina. Next JMB report in early November will make things clearer.

 

[woggybot]

Snow coming down now for the past 2 days...

http://www.alpen-route.co.jp/murodo/livefile/2012/cam.php?n=2

 

[Froff Life]

For a weather noob like me this graphic from an article posted today on MW was pretty helpful:

 

[Sandy]

This October has been the 5th wettest on record for Tokyo.... and with more rain associated with another typhoon this weekend, it looks like it could move up into 4th place, or as high as 2nd.

 

[Sandy]

For a weather noob like me this graphic from an article posted today on MW was pretty helpful:

See here:
Japan weather tutorial.
https://www.ski.com.au/xf/threads/weather-tutorial-for-japan.63512/

 

[Crispy013]

See here:
Japan weather tutorial.
https://www.ski.com.au/xf/threads/weather-tutorial-for-japan.63512/

Updated those photo links yet

 

[Sandy]

Updated those photo links yet

YES!!!!!

 

[Sandy]

This October has been the 5th wettest on record for Tokyo.... and with more rain associated with another typhoon this weekend, it looks like it could move up into 4th place, or as high as 2nd.

It's now the 4th highest precipitation total for Tokyo in October: 440.5mm

The heavier typhoon rain has just starting coming down in the last 2 hours. Another 90mm is required for 3rd (530mm) or 93mm for 2nd (533mm). We will NOT hit the highest (780mm) !!!!!

 

[PMG]

Looks good for snow tomorrow.

 

[Crispy013]

Hokkaido should do well if that low keeps tracking the way it does

 

[Sandy]

Looks good for snow tomorrow.

Definitely Hokkaido down to low levels..... Should I start the season proper thread?

 

[globewanderer]

Definitely Hokkaido down to low levels..... Should I start the season proper thread?

Yes, I think the time has come

 

[Sandy]

Snow season thread for 2017/2018:
https://www.ski.com.au/xf/threads/the-japanese-snow-season-2017-2018-weather.79741/