Mega Thread The Great Summer Hotplate

Discussion in 'Weather' started by nfip, Dec 1, 2018.

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  1. Ubiquitous Steve

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  2. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    Same as water swirling around past a pier or a rock in a river current.
     
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  3. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN One of Us

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    Cracking day up at Smiggins by the looks of it.
     
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  4. Ubiquitous Steve

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    Well it’s in weather forum ...but good to catch attention in here perhaps
     
  5. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    Off to the Fire Season thread...
     
  6. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room
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    I havent had much of a chance to look at weather since snow season, but I like what I see mid/late next week in terms of rainfall for the Eastern part of the country. Remnants of TC Owen linking up with a deep trough to generate widespread showers/storms across 3 states is the go. I think I just want to see 2010/11 all over again.
     
  7. Belly

    Belly A Local
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    I was just checking out the charts as well. Very extended trough pattern for se Aus, effectively starting this weekend and stretching into next weekend but really deepening mid-late week.
     
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  8. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room
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    What else you gonna do when it's 38C outside? Look at the charts to see when the rain is coming of course.
     
  9. Belly

    Belly A Local
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    Not that hot in Canberra but warm enough. Whilst we had some reasonable Spring rain I was just having the thought this morning 'when is it going to again'!
     
  10. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    be carefull what you pray for.
    we got the whole of year 12 going camping for the week.
    we're prepping them with tarps, wet weather gear, (snorkel, epirbs ;))
     
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  11. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    some impressive 10 day totes for the inland on EC.
     
  12. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    GFS favouring the East Coast
     
  13. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room
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    When doesnt GFS favour the East coast?
     
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  14. dogski

    dogski Hard Yards

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    Yeah but without the Toowoomba storm.
     
  15. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    I actually did think that as I wrote it .
     
  16. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    Looked better the other day TBH. I think major models are a bit gun shy on it ATM.
     
    #116 POW_hungry, Dec 7, 2018
    Last edited: Dec 7, 2018
  17. gettingtooold

    gettingtooold One of Us
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    Hit 40 today on the Surf Coast. How much fun is this !
     
  18. Warlock_01

    Warlock_01 Addicted

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  19. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room
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    My wz forecast for Thursday is 'Possible Shower' 40-80mm. Lel.
     
  20. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    Major models are aligned and locked in here now.
    This thing could potentially solve alot of problems inland.

    Reminds me of the deepening low in the SE last Dec, with the upper level component threading the eye of the needle through SA and drawing in the inland troff.
    EC


    EC also has a landphoon forming to the West of GoC on Thursday which GFS doesn't wanna know about. An interesting feature that should be watched.
     
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  21. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    Solid (-) OLR values through inland SA/NSW are evident in our current phase (Thursday-Saturday's system).
     
  22. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us

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    Something or nothing building west of the high perch
     
  23. doogasnow

    doogasnow One of Us

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    This arvo gfs is looking big rainfall wise for southern vic Thursday/Friday next week !!
     
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  24. Ubiquitous Steve

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    Absolutely still near JB Plain...bit weird ...it’s been a very hot day down Lower....I was expecting violent thunderstorms.

    Thought I heard a rumble just now....radar showing some colour down Mansfield way....we have had a few drops this arvo since I got up here....better not get dry lightening or things will not be good on the lower slopes which have been baking all day.

    Off to bed in a min. got stuff all sleep in Melb last night.
     
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  25. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable
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    31 in Jindy today, very hot in the paddock.
     
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  26. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us
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    It’s was a very warm day @dawooduck.

    Morning...



    Evening...



    Breeze picked up here circa 8:30 p.m. but has backed off now....it’s still quite warm for the mountains. Paddocks drying out very quick.
     
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  27. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable
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    And now some rain and a little subdued lightning off to the east. :thumbs:
     
    #127 dawooduck, Dec 8, 2018
    Last edited: Dec 9, 2018
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  28. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic
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  29. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    AXS G tagging in
     
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  30. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    Mid-arvo should see the propagation of some storms through Macedon, Southern Alps (Vic) and southern GDR in to NSW this arvo.
    Oodles of potential through Vic, but I do like the prospect of severe stuff leeward of the Brindies (ACT) & Snowy Mountains tonight.
     
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  31. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    Looking really good for the folk out west this week.
    Has a strong scent of pineapple into the cut-off.
    Plenty of good viewing.
     
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  32. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    Buller just scraped 15mm out of the sky in the last hour. Solid.

    And the boys light up...
     
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  33. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room
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    A few rumbles earlier here in inner Melbs
     
  34. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    Moruya and the Bay in the firing line shortly.
     
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  35. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic
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    GFS going quite bullish with the amount of trough axis dilation- vorticity next weekend imo.
     
  36. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic
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    A bit of wickedness North and South
     
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  37. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic
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    GFS above and EC below. Could be reason for concern if this eventuates
     
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  38. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike
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    Thunderstorm warning updated to include Melbourne now.

     
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  39. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    Bendigo picking up 13mm of precip today so far.

    Radar lighting up through Central and Eastern regions of the state.
    Southern Riverina (NSW) has a warning up to. The cross-graining cell North East of Deni @ Jerilderie is on fire right now, moving ENE.
     
  40. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    Sydney currently overshadowed by the single cell's overshoot; some 80 kms SW of the city. Completely clear to the North of the city. What a shame, as it's spoiling a cracker of an arvo here.

    Looking South across the harbour.
     
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  41. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable
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    It started raining about 1230 in Jindy and then patchy rain right through to Bowral.
     
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  42. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty
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    Glazed doughnuts
     
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  43. Claude Cat

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    EC's pretty much locked in the wetness for the latter part of the week.

     

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  44. Snowy Joey

    Snowy Joey One of Us
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    Where’s that for cc? Done some property Reno this weekend, still got alot of rendering and painting to do. Do you think we’re going to get much wednesday onwards?
     
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  45. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture
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    Should see plenny throughout the SE.
    Along the GDR is showing maxima on EC & GFS.

    EC:
     

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  46. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Walking on a dream
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    It's for Melbourne. There's a fair bit more progged for the Dandenongs (which IIRC you are based in).
     
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  47. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike
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    Melbourne.
     
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  48. Ubiquitous Steve

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    Moderately heavy rain in Ovens.Vallley as we left Hotham at six thirty...
    Scary thunderstorm Passing over Eurora!!:eek::eek::eek: Approx 9.15pm
     
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  49. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us
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    The amusing thing for me about the pending rain event for us is that it falls on my work Christmas party on Friday and the big December rain event from last year fell on, you guessed it, my work Christmas party on a Friday... Perhaps it's an omen.
     
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  50. Snowy Joey

    Snowy Joey One of Us
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    Better get busy in the next few days then, thanks guys :cheers:
     
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