1. SPECIAL NOTE TO NEW REGISTRATIONS

    If you recently registered and have not received a confirmation email - please check your 'Spam or Junk' folders. Especially if your email is Hotmail. More help with confirmation issues

    NOTE: This notice may be closed.

    Dismiss Notice

The Japanese snow season 2018-2019 Weather

Discussion in 'General & World' started by Sandy, Nov 19, 2018.

  1. Ramenman

    Ramenman One of Us

    Joined:
    Mar 3, 2014
    Messages:
    2,591
    Likes Received:
    2,293
    According to JMA, the weather station in Furano was -24.0C at 7am.

    Then, around the top lift station of Furano ski resort is about -30C:rolleyes:?
     
    elSpike likes this.
  2. xuěboarder

    xuěboarder One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Apr 23, 2016
    Messages:
    393
    Likes Received:
    524
    Snowing lightly in Tokyo (Nihombashi). Its cold
     
    elSpike likes this.
  3. Stiffler

    Stiffler One of Us

    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2016
    Messages:
    417
    Likes Received:
    396
    Really great touring weather day today good vis, Nil wind even up at 2000m, snow was good but great below 1500m, headed out of Ikenotaira then up to Summit it Mt Akakura then traverse down ending up at base of Kanko. Good day out.
    Now de-service, Onsen, Beers, Dinner, Bed, Repeat.
     
    Kletterer, nfip, elSpike and 3 others like this.
  4. hotsaki

    hotsaki One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 2010
    Messages:
    1,284
    Likes Received:
    412
    Location:
    Darwin Australia
    Snowing heavily at Akakura.:)
     
    elSpike, Ramenman and Stiffler like this.
  5. Stiffler

    Stiffler One of Us

    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2016
    Messages:
    417
    Likes Received:
    396
    Hopefully around 40cm tonight
     
  6. Hyst

    Hyst Enjoyer Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Nov 23, 2014
    Messages:
    1,389
    Likes Received:
    697
    Location:
    Copenhagen
    NTK news shows very cold Hokkaido! o_O
     
    Ramenman likes this.
  7. Hagle

    Hagle Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Jan 2, 2018
    Messages:
    41
    Likes Received:
    42
    Location:
    Red Hill, Qld
    @Sandy, my observation was that your prediction was surprisingly accurate. Liked the “biblical” prediction, so sorry if it came across as negative.
     
    elSpike likes this.
  8. Sandy

    Sandy Dark Sith Lord of the Pool Room Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 1998
    Messages:
    63,507
    Likes Received:
    10,666
    Location:
    Yokohama, Japan, Melb. Expat.
    No guess. Based on models, and models keep changing more than 1 week out
     
  9. Hagle

    Hagle Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Jan 2, 2018
    Messages:
    41
    Likes Received:
    42
    Location:
    Red Hill, Qld
    I like to know the weather forecast for the time I am in [insert location here]. But I can’t change it. It will be what it is, The best days we had last week in Shigakogen were the unexpected ones...when the weather threw us something unpredicted.
     
    Guthega Girl likes this.
  10. Sandy

    Sandy Dark Sith Lord of the Pool Room Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 1998
    Messages:
    63,507
    Likes Received:
    10,666
    Location:
    Yokohama, Japan, Melb. Expat.
    The snow is often more predictable than you might think, 6-8 hours out. That enables you to pick the right place to ski.
    https://www.ski.com.au/xf/threads/weather-tutorial-for-japan.63512/
     
    Guthega Girl likes this.
  11. Hagle

    Hagle Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Jan 2, 2018
    Messages:
    41
    Likes Received:
    42
    Location:
    Red Hill, Qld
    Agree 100%. Val d’Isere, Cortina, Zermat or val Thorens early December/Jan, Japan later Jan/Feb, Alberta Nov to March, Portillo or Falls August (maybe TC too).
     
  12. Sandy

    Sandy Dark Sith Lord of the Pool Room Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 1998
    Messages:
    63,507
    Likes Received:
    10,666
    Location:
    Yokohama, Japan, Melb. Expat.
    I mean specific mountains in Japan, on the day, dependent on topography and wind direction.... Not general areas and time of year. Central Japan doesn't need low pressure toughs and cold fronts, it just needs the wind from the right direction.
    The Thursday before last it made the difference between 10cm and 45cm within 30km.
     
  13. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 21, 2003
    Messages:
    11,237
    Likes Received:
    6,225
    Location:
    Elwood
    Any further thoughts on following week Monday 18th?
    You guys had mentioned some wondering LP systems which are not great for the Honshu resorts. Are these still likely or is the forecast looking more positive for this Hakuba bound guy??
     
    oldgeezer and Guthega Girl like this.
  14. Stiffler

    Stiffler One of Us

    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2016
    Messages:
    417
    Likes Received:
    396
    Woke up with at least 40cm+ in Myoko, still snowing heavily. Side country day today. Touring tomorrow. Be safe out there today some very near misses and bad accidents witnessed the last few days.
     
  15. oldgeezer

    oldgeezer One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 18, 2016
    Messages:
    986
    Likes Received:
    739
    Location:
    Grandpa oh and computer programmer too.
    That's me and MrsOG: On JAL today (Sunday) in a week and then the 7:30am Azusa Express as per original recommendation from @Sandy on Monday 18th, for six nights in Hakuba (Tsugaike actually), so I am starting to check the forecasts too.
     
    Tanuki and Chowder11 like this.
  16. Crispy013

    Crispy013 One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 6, 2010
    Messages:
    1,589
    Likes Received:
    1,816
    Location:
    Port Macquarie, NSW
    Looking better. Low position not too bad and thickness much better. Friday now potential r***, but again, nothing is certain. Looking further afield, 19th-24th shaping up pretty rough. Warm and wet for most of Honshu.

    Edit: re-read the date. NEXT Monday. Yeah, not great at this stage.
     
  17. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 21, 2003
    Messages:
    11,237
    Likes Received:
    6,225
    Location:
    Elwood
    :puke:
     
    oldgeezer likes this.
  18. oldgeezer

    oldgeezer One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 18, 2016
    Messages:
    986
    Likes Received:
    739
    Location:
    Grandpa oh and computer programmer too.
    Which I had noticed too, unfortunately.
     
  19. Tanuki

    Tanuki A Local Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Sep 29, 2010
    Messages:
    7,905
    Likes Received:
    3,838
    The Azusa is great, get a Bento before you get on (more choices) The last section around the lake and mountains is impressive.
     
    oldgeezer likes this.
  20. Buzza8

    Buzza8 Early Days

    Joined:
    Dec 10, 2018
    Messages:
    35
    Likes Received:
    9
    @Crispy013 - would Furano get rain from this or cold enough for snow ? most forecasts I have been looking at seem to show still snow for Furano from these dates ... Thoughts for Furano area please ?
     
  21. blueandwhite

    blueandwhite One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    May 26, 2016
    Messages:
    364
    Likes Received:
    1,081
    Location:
    TQY
    Late February in Honshu. Why do I continue to book this every year... :emoji_sweat_drops::mad:

    Can't grumble too much, I fooled the weather gods good and proper by booking a sneaky six days in Hokkaido in January at the last minute. They didn't see that one coming I tells ya. :emoji_snowflake::emoji_snowflake::)

    Pretty glad I made that covering bet right now.
     
    #1321 blueandwhite, Feb 10, 2019
    Last edited: Feb 10, 2019
    Guthega Girl likes this.
  22. Guthega Girl

    Guthega Girl Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Sep 6, 2004
    Messages:
    253
    Likes Received:
    76
    Location:
    Melbourne
    ☔️

    Fml .... my bad again !! I feel like I’m cursed
     
  23. Crispy013

    Crispy013 One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 6, 2010
    Messages:
    1,589
    Likes Received:
    1,816
    Location:
    Port Macquarie, NSW
    19-20 pretty horrible for Honshu. Furano still has 528 line.

    [​IMG]

    23-24 again warm, but the low up near Hokkaido will mean any rain is fairly short lived for Furano. Honshu, however...:(

    [​IMG]
     
    Jellybeans likes this.
  24. Stiffler

    Stiffler One of Us

    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2016
    Messages:
    417
    Likes Received:
    396
    Epic day in the side country today with the 70cm of fresh light dry powder.
     
  25. Buzza8

    Buzza8 Early Days

    Joined:
    Dec 10, 2018
    Messages:
    35
    Likes Received:
    9
    Thanks @Crispy013 - fingers crossed something happens so Honshu gets snow instead of rain. Glad Furano still in line for snow and not rain..
     
  26. Fancy_Pants

    Fancy_Pants Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Jan 29, 2010
    Messages:
    116
    Likes Received:
    78
    What's the prospect of any snow on Honshu in amongst this warm period?

    I'm booked in this weekend and I'm considering, after 2 days in Hakuba, jumping on a flight to Hokkaido to dodge the rain and hopefully get fresh.
     
  27. Sandy

    Sandy Dark Sith Lord of the Pool Room Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 1998
    Messages:
    63,507
    Likes Received:
    10,666
    Location:
    Yokohama, Japan, Melb. Expat.
    If I was booking a snow holiday in Japan, I wouldn't book late Feb, if I wanted powder for sure........

    There is no curse, there are statistics. There is always at least one rain event in late Feb.
    https://www.ski.com.au/xf/threads/japan-general-tips-for-when-and-where-to-go-for-snow.69888/
     
    Joe, Guthega Girl and blueandwhite like this.
  28. Melskius

    Melskius One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 2, 2015
    Messages:
    263
    Likes Received:
    268
    Darn.. we will be in Naeba from 25th Feb -2nd March. Was hoping for something better than the 17 degree day we had last year on our visit. Just hope the wind stops so we can ride the Dragondola to Kagura, missed out last year. Here's hoping the rain goes early or goes snow.
     
  29. blueandwhite

    blueandwhite One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    May 26, 2016
    Messages:
    364
    Likes Received:
    1,081
    Location:
    TQY
    Thanks, it's there in black and white in fairness! I would have learnt my lesson well and truly last year if it hadn't been for friends who visited Madarao the week directly before us and scored great conditions - the weather switch got flicked as we arrived unfortunately. So I booked a week earlier this year and the switch seems to have followed me! 100% my fault for booking it late Feb but it's a bit like betting in the casino - you feel like your losing run can't keep going and you'll eventually score if you keep betting on red! Of course I know it doesn't really work like that... :rolleyes:

    We're in Nozawa from the 21st Feb to the 5th March so hopefully the pattern might change later in the period. With two young kids skiing in freezing rain's not really an option. Anyhow, points noted and we move on!
     
    #1329 blueandwhite, Feb 10, 2019
    Last edited: Feb 10, 2019
  30. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 21, 2003
    Messages:
    11,237
    Likes Received:
    6,225
    Location:
    Elwood
    It’s my fault. The fresh stuff avoids me like no other.
     
    oldgeezer likes this.
  31. bullet

    bullet One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 11, 2007
    Messages:
    872
    Likes Received:
    1,037
    Location:
    wollongong
    Sugi?
     
  32. xuěboarder

    xuěboarder One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Apr 23, 2016
    Messages:
    393
    Likes Received:
    524
    So first time properly skiing overseas outside of Oceania. Hakuba 13th-26th. Am I likely to get even 1 day of that famous japowo, or have I timed it really well to miss it?
     
  33. Fancy_Pants

    Fancy_Pants Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Jan 29, 2010
    Messages:
    116
    Likes Received:
    78
    I feel your pain. I'm in a similar boat but I'll roll with the punches: might run up from Hakuba to Niseko. I intentionally kept my plans open to be able to shift north. Lose a day in travel but (hopefully) gain some fresh :)
     
  34. Crunky

    Crunky Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Jan 6, 2011
    Messages:
    36
    Likes Received:
    23
    Stormy all day at Tenjin. Lots of snow overnight and today. That sun crust from last week gives you pause.
     
  35. foxbat

    foxbat Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Jul 16, 2018
    Messages:
    60
    Likes Received:
    28
    i'm no expert or a powder hound......but I have skied Niseko 1st week of march for the past 4 years ( only because of work commitments ) and apart from 3 hours of light rain the first day of our trip last year, we have had great conditions every year...even if it is March.........plus less crowds, a little cheaper...etc
     
    blueandwhite likes this.
  36. blueandwhite

    blueandwhite One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    May 26, 2016
    Messages:
    364
    Likes Received:
    1,081
    Location:
    TQY
    Yeah I took my daughter to Niseko/Rusutsu in January and we had a total blast with great snow. This trip to Nozawa is with my whole family (of varying ability) so we were looking ideally more for better visibility and weather and decent on-piste rather than the deep stuff - which is why we looked later in the season. A powder day when my youngest could go to childcare would have been a bonus of course! But yeah, Hokkaido for me every time from here on in I think. If you don't have kids with you and can afford to be mobile then it's obviously a different story.
     
  37. Sandy

    Sandy Dark Sith Lord of the Pool Room Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 1998
    Messages:
    63,507
    Likes Received:
    10,666
    Location:
    Yokohama, Japan, Melb. Expat.
    The origanal post was for Central Honshu. If you read the link, it references that and Hokkaido being better in late Feb into March.
    The thread is about WHEN and WHERE to go for optimal conditions.
     
  38. Stiffler

    Stiffler One of Us

    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2016
    Messages:
    417
    Likes Received:
    396
    Madarao, off the top out of ski boundary far skiers right.
     
    bullet likes this.
  39. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2017
    Messages:
    28,564
    Likes Received:
    24,043
    Location:
    woonona
    Without being rude.
    Why Hakuba or Niseko or bust.
    There are 500 ski hills in Japan that may get more snow than those two. Over the next fortnight
     
    Mitchthewitch and Nozawaman like this.
  40. Guthega Girl

    Guthega Girl Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Sep 6, 2004
    Messages:
    253
    Likes Received:
    76
    Location:
    Melbourne
  41. Melskius

    Melskius One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 2, 2015
    Messages:
    263
    Likes Received:
    268
    In light of possible rain event at end of feb. If I'm skiing 25th feb - 2nd march, after green - blue groomers as have 5 &9yr old skiing with us, would you suggest ditching Naeba and heading for Shiga Kogen instead? (I have skiied briefly at both destination before)
     
  42. Fancy_Pants

    Fancy_Pants Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Jan 29, 2010
    Messages:
    116
    Likes Received:
    78
    Not rude at all Donzah. It’s my first snowboarding trip to Japan, and late in the planning, I might add, so I’m heading to known quantities. Known in the sense that there is plenty of info on these and I feel comfortable starting there before heading farther afield. I’m totally open to seeking further.

    So if this rain event looks bad for central Honshu, is north Honshu to be spared?
     
  43. ojisan

    ojisan Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 26, 2011
    Messages:
    18,072
    Likes Received:
    7,104
    If you are thinking Niseko, it ain't on Honshu ;)
     
  44. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2017
    Messages:
    28,564
    Likes Received:
    24,043
    Location:
    woonona
    I don't see any rain for Honshu for the next week
     
    Guthega Girl likes this.
  45. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 21, 2003
    Messages:
    11,237
    Likes Received:
    6,225
    Location:
    Elwood
    I think most of us bithcing and whinging at the moment (me included) are talking about the following week. Saturday 16th onwards.
     
    fennekeg and Guthega Girl like this.
  46. mannyk

    mannyk One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 13, 2014
    Messages:
    1,892
    Likes Received:
    635
    We arrived in Narita last night, Currently in our Narita view hotel looking out the window to snow covered cars and roads..Still to dark for photos.
     
  47. Fancy_Pants

    Fancy_Pants Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Jan 29, 2010
    Messages:
    116
    Likes Received:
    78
    I said Honshu, mate
     
  48. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2017
    Messages:
    28,564
    Likes Received:
    24,043
    Location:
    woonona
    which is a week away...
    any forecast further than 4 days , is a folly. Especially in Japan
     
    Chowder11 and blueandwhite like this.
  49. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 21, 2003
    Messages:
    11,237
    Likes Received:
    6,225
    Location:
    Elwood
    True, however the signs are potentially there, which has us a bit on edge
     
  50. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2017
    Messages:
    28,564
    Likes Received:
    24,043
    Location:
    woonona
    While the deterministic forecasts for Next week don't look great, the ensembles look fine.
    So we'll see lots of flip flopping around