Mega Thread The officially, official Summer Weather thread!

Discussion in 'General & World' started by Hermon, Dec 1, 2017.

  1. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looks like it might get a little heavy around Picton area. Some flooding later this arvo perhaps.
     
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  2. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    AXS and BSCH agree.
    Not going to be good on the roads.....
     
  3. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's hammering....
     
  4. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    The cracks in the clay around that way would need to swell first.
     
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  5. oldgeezer

    oldgeezer One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Some useful rain this morning in the ACT. Only because topped up the pool yesterday though:(
     
  6. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Decent drop... (over 2 hours)
    [​IMG]
     
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  7. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us

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    Getting nothing here on the western side of the hills and doesn't even look like it. A cracking day actually.
     
  8. chicski

    chicski A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    The fire is lit in Jindy. Yesterday was in the 30's, humid and windy as, today wet, overcast, windy as (from the other direction) and around 11.
     
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  9. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    raining proper now in the BMs
     
  10. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Newy is still dry.
     
  11. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Charlotte Pass sitting on 7C with 5mm so far.
    Certainly feeling cool thanks to the cloud cover in NSW. A lot of mizzle & drizzle here in the Sydney Basin, nothing heavy though. Sydney will be lucky to make it to 22C IMO.

    Not a bad little system for summer (so much for it being "fake weather news/spam"!).

    [​IMG] ...
     
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  12. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Atrocious on the roads. Phuck some people really wanna die and take a few others with them I swear....
    Drive in to the grounds and they call it off..... deep breath.
    I make a few polite comments about the availability of free access to the radar ( which i sent to coach at 7.30 ) and a forecast , bite my tongue suck it up get back in the car and drive home. Made a day of it stopped in at Gerringong check out some boards and hit the bakery.
    Listen to some good music too .
    The gurl got good taste for a 17 yo.
    Joys of sport and weather .
     
  13. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah we went out for lunch.. Mums B-Day and our wedding anniversary . What a day for it.
    Absolutely agree re roads. No wonder the Hume is shut due to a huge mva.
     
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  14. Untele-whippet

    Untele-whippet beard stroker Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yup, about 15 mm this arvo.
    Got soaked leaving The Flicks.
     
  15. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    A lot of water on the road , washing across and few times little rivers on the passenger side line would just hang on to the wheels .
    Very much a day for steady as she goes no matter what you driving.
    Other no brainer is the amount of numb nuts driving with out lights .
    Time to settle in on couch watch the ice hockey.
     
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  16. Seafm

    Seafm Too far from the snow Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's starting to look a bit like a wet season. Moving south east and about to get hammered.
     
  17. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Was up at Charlottes this morning. More like late Autumn. Very low visibility and not a good day for hiking, albeit about 20 cars at the circle.
     
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  18. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Finaly getting some rain in Newy. Drive to Canberra will be fun.
     
  19. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    The 3 blind mice system still flirting with Tassie.
     
  20. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS Deterministic going bold (surprise, surprise) in the LR with a cold outbreak over the SE. Doesn't correlate with much on the ensembles but it's worth keeping an eye on in the second week of March. Interestingly, it coincides somewhat with out next MJO visit.
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
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  21. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us

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    Well you know the old adage.....if you need rain.............wash a car, so I did and.........
     
  22. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us

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    Need to wash another car , its going to miss us to the south , damn.
     
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  23. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    87mm in the backyard Accurite .
    33 by the BOM aws.
     
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  24. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Peaks a bit early and leaves Tassie with a deteriorating cut off low. I think the good stuff is gonna be to the West of Tas, in the bight.
     
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  25. Seafm

    Seafm Too far from the snow Ski Pass: Gold

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    I could have told you that.
     
  26. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Bellambi 1.8 mm
    Lol
    As if.
    My pool is about to overflow
     
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  27. Infinity Dawn

    Infinity Dawn One of Us

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    Very cold on the north shore (west pymble) weather station showing 24.1mm of rain in a 24 hour period. Temp is about 16C. Very nice feels like winter
     
  28. Untele-whippet

    Untele-whippet beard stroker Ski Pass: Gold

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    37 mm now, upper BMs
     
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  29. Infinity Dawn

    Infinity Dawn One of Us

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    @POW_hungry YR saying snow on mt kozi? your the expert , thoughts on this?

     
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  30. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yes, EC shows snow to possibly ~1700m from very early tomorrow morning to about midday. Chances get worser as the day progresses, precip wise.

    GFS says a flat no.
    ACCESS says a chance of sleet/wet snow to 2000-2100m around 6-9am tomorrow.

    Would be cool to see some snow on the Mainland for the first time this year.
     
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  31. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Possible, perhaps right up at the top. Touch and go.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
  32. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    ha, thanks mate.
    Slim chance on the summit TBH. Planning a midnight hike?
     
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  33. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    GFS has a small window around 1am where it's cold enough. Just.
    If it does, it won't hang around till morning.
     
  34. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    Ah ok... didn't see that on the GFS charts I have.
     
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  35. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    I don't see EC going to 1700m tomorrow at all. EC suggests +6C @850mb at best early tomorrow AM.
     
  36. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    The chart I have shows FLs at around ~1800-1900m at 5am tomorrow.
     
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  37. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's already happened on the 14th JAN, HERE ;)
     
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  38. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    Haha, I completely forgot about that :headbang:
     
  39. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Interesting to see Charlottes Pass reached it's diurnal maximum temp (16C) @ 3 mins past midnight this morning and hit it's 7C low mid-arvo today. That doesn't happen too often in the mountains.
    *not a calibrated BoM AWS
     
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  40. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  41. Infinity Dawn

    Infinity Dawn One of Us

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    Sydney olympic park 79.4 mm - biggest fall since 8th June 2017 - more rain in one day then the last 2.5 months
    Terrey hills 75.4mm + more to come before 9am - biggest fall in over 12 months
     
  42. davidg

    davidg Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Finally some great constant soaking rain. 50mm in the Lower BM's / Penrith so far. Stark contrast to the 40c we had on Saturday!
     
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  43. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Rockingham region, south of Perth looks like it may have been hit by the remnants of a supercell yesterday despite marginal conditions for such a storm (IMO). 130km/h winds were recorded off the coast (Garden Island) before it moved onshore.

    Looks like it caught BoM off guard also.
    [​IMG]
     
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  44. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Moonbah (at least where I am) managed 25mm over the past 36 hours. Surpasses the 20mm total since Jan 1st! Dust is turning green already.
     
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  45. sbm_

    sbm_ One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Still raining near Sydney Airport. I think that's just about 24 hours of consistent rain.
     
  46. Arsas

    Arsas One of Us

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    Photos of the southerly change that past over Saturday afternoon.
    Location - Aragunnu Beach (South Coast NSW).
     
  47. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS staying with a nasty looking cut off system around the 10th for the SE on the 00z run. Kinda baseless as the ensembles dont show much agreement but it looks significant if the determenistics are anything to go by.
     
  48. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

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    Remarkable radar images over Sydney right now
     
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  49. Majikthise

    Majikthise Sage Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    yep ...movement all ways...
     
  50. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    A possible contibuting factor-
     
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