The Perfect Australian Weather System (For Snow)

Discussion in 'Weather' started by jontsy, Feb 6, 2012.

  1. jontsy

    jontsy Hard Yards

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    Zeroz, that's like betting on red at roulette because it's been black the last 6 rounds. It's still the same chances each time around, the weather Gods don't go "well I've given them crap seasons for 6 years, I think I better give them a good one this year. As I said before, it's not worth speculating about the long term winter forecast for Australia, it just never turns out to be correct, our weather is just too complex and unpredictable for even computer models to come anywhere close.

    The effect of climate change however is having an impact IMO, our temps are so marginal that even a small temp difference of about 0.5 degrees makes a difference. I remember all the rainy days we had in August that could have been at least wet snow if it was about 0.5- 1 degree cooler
     
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  2. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room
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    I think Zeroz tongue was pretty well firmly planted in his cheek [​IMG]
     
    #52 CarveMan, Feb 12, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  3. jontsy

    jontsy Hard Yards

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    mm reading it again I think he was too, many sorry's for my rant zeroz
     
  4. gareth_oau

    gareth_oau Pool Room
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    hehe, thats what credit cards are for, right? [​IMG] [​IMG]
     
    #54 gareth_oau, Feb 12, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  5. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike
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    Stay on topic.
     
  6. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
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    I'll stick my neck out and say we will be having a good season. Its just time.......
     
  7. qwill

    qwill Part of the Furniture
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    What does Lord Monkton think about this year's snow season? He is an expert on everything else................
     
  8. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike
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    Mod note: that is a discussion for CV not weather.
     
    #58 Claude Cat, Feb 16, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  9. jontsy

    jontsy Hard Yards

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    I know I've spoken out against speculating but a declining La Nina seems to have a good effect. CC, we have been in La Nina for a long while now do you think there is a good chance it will begin to decline around winter and thus increase our chance of a good snow season?
     
  10. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
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    Mark my words.
    Good season
     
  11. cin

    cin Old n' Crusty
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    2m on the ground by mid April.
    In Jindabyne.
     
  12. chivvo

    chivvo Hard Yards

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    hopefully the chickens are malting.

    I was told by the lady at Berridale Pub that if the Chickens are malting in February its going to be a good season.
     
  13. jontsy

    jontsy Hard Yards

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    my prediction: 10cm fall around mid-april, early may (give or take 10cm)- BUMPER SEASON forecast. Disappointing season with around two 40cm DUMPS (give or take 40cm)
     
  14. Olgreg

    Olgreg One of Us
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    I didn't know chickens made whisky, but I'll try anything.
     
  15. cold wombat

    cold wombat Twitter Contributer
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    Well I think that about sums up the state of the art for pre-season predictions.
     
  16. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
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    I told ya's.
    Gunna be good.
     
  17. cold wombat

    cold wombat Twitter Contributer
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    Is this weather or convo?
     
  18. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room
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    You have been going on about 2012 being a good season for so long now. You'd look a bit like a rusty [auto-flamin-censor] if it was crap this year [​IMG]
     
    #68 Vermillion, Feb 20, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  19. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike
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    ok stay on topic.

    Predictions for 2012 season can be done elsewhere, start a new topic.
     
  20. Stephen James Allen

    Stephen James Allen Hard Yards

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    I remember, would you believe, 2000 was a very long season, first season snow boarding, epic. Though of all the years in Australia, one monday in 2014 either July or August, was some of the deepest driest powder I have ever ridden at Thredders. All weekend, the window galed at around 90 - 100 klm, Thredbo was closed, and half of Australia on 6 tbars at Perisher; the wait about 25 minutes for a 5 minute run. Everyone had had enough and took off back for the working week. Well would you believe it, Thredbo opened Monday morning and the entire mountain close to 1 meter deep of dry powder. At one point I had to crawl out of the Golf Course across to Funnel Web it was so deep. And riding the deep powder near vertical walls of Funnel Web was bullshit!. And I have made several trips to Japan to know what good powder is....
     
  21. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable
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    They look something like this .....



    but with more trailing fronts
     
    #71 dawooduck, Jul 7, 2015
    Last edited: Jul 7, 2015
  22. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable
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    I recall a break in the weather was forecast in July so everyone planned a sicky .... Thredbo workers went to Perisher and Perisher workers went to Thredbo. :D

    On that day I recall traversing across the Olympic face on my own, with a lot of cloud swirling about and I stopped to gather my bearings and movement and ..... the clouds parted as a lent against the steep snow face and I looked up to a rather large cornice looming over head .... and thinking .... I might just get the hell out of here !!!

    Was epic, all winter and the funny thing is as it was my first winter I didn't really give a lot of thought to it being a "big winter". Everyone just kept wishing that the sun would come out.

    Caravan was fairly buried at Friday Flat, made quite a bit of coin shoveling snow for lodges, just me and a mate random door knocking with a shovel.
     
  23. Legs Akimbo

    Legs Akimbo Grumblebum
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    I skied the Eyre t-bar in the third weekend of October. In some places the t-bar ran in a trench that was over head high. In late December Thredbo could have been open with skiing down to Kareela station on the old Crackenback chair.
     
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  24. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable
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    Liechardt T Bar was in a very steep trench as well that when people fell off they took out the next few lots of people into a screaming heap. We would jump\ski over the face sliders to avoid getting caught up in the carnage. :confused:
     
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  25. Stephen James Allen

    Stephen James Allen Hard Yards

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    Which year was this, sounds unbelievable.
     
  26. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable
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  27. Adamski

    Adamski Hard Yards

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    Pix or it didn't happen...
     
  28. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable
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    Great Swell of '74
    Season 1981

    All myths
     
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  29. Legs Akimbo

    Legs Akimbo Grumblebum
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    Yep. 1981.
     
  30. Kelpieboy

    Kelpieboy One of Us

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    I am old enough to tell you from first hand experience , the great swell of '74 is no myth nor is the season of '81. I was too young to surf in those great swells of '74 but I do remember them well, like watching waves break over the old North Narra surf club eventually ripping it apart. I wasnt too young to be on ski in '81 though and remember thinking that this is as good as it gets in Aussie. The descriptions of it by previous posters are accurate but hardly does it justice. Freaking Awesome is what it was.
     
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  31. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable
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    It was tongue in cheek .... I was born in 1960 and lived them both. Watching the German Bank break from Dee Why to out past Long Reef, actually throw out and break. You could feel it shake the ground.
     
  32. Olgreg

    Olgreg One of Us
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    I nearly drowned in the '74 swell, out the back of Cronulla rock pools, in the rip coming off the point.
    Then went for my first ever ski trip in '81 and thought " Well, they call it the Snowy Mountians. what' s all the fuss about?"
    I realised the following year.
     
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  33. Olgreg

    Olgreg One of Us
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    Must be getting old. I reread page one and realised I said some of this before.
     
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  34. agentBM

    agentBM Part of the Furniture

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    late August 1992 was a good one...maybe more than one storm though
     
  35. Sandy

    Sandy Dark Sith Lord of the Pool Room
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    Stay on topic
     
  36. agentBM

    agentBM Part of the Furniture

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    ...thought it was
     
  37. Sandy

    Sandy Dark Sith Lord of the Pool Room
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    The topic is:
    The Perfect Australian Weather System (For Snow)

    It's NOT:
    "I nearly drowned in the '74 swell, out the back of Cronulla rock pools, in the rip coming off the point."
    "Liechardt T Bar was in a very steep trench as well that when people fell off they took out the next few lots of people into a screaming heap."
    "Thredbo opened Monday morning and the entire mountain close to 1 meter deep of dry powder. At one point I had to crawl out of the Golf Course across to Funnel Web it was so deep. And riding the deep powder near vertical walls of Funnel Web was bullshit!."

    None of these mention details a weather system that produces snow....
     
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  38. Olgreg

    Olgreg One of Us
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    Thanks Sandy. Lost in nostalgia.
     
  39. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable
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    Sandys just pissed he missed both events ..... anyway, just take a look at the next BOM 4 day chart this arvo and close the thread. :cool:
     
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