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The Sizzling Summer Weather Banter thread!

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Dec 1, 2011.

  1. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Firming up on GFS & EC as a NE Vic & east Gippsland event for the weekend. Some big totals to be had.

    [​IMG]

    The amount we get in Melbourne still up for debate. EC would have less than 10mm, but GFS and BOM are showing more.
     
    #251 Claude Cat, Feb 7, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  2. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looks to be going further east every day, from Melbourne at least. Still like I said a chance of 20-120mm depending on where you are and how lucky you are. At least the highest totals wont be centered around N NSW and SE QLD this time.

    As I type belting rain from a shower in the SE subs, looks a bit wintery out there.
     
  3. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Interesting - fine and warm in the inner east, almost beach weather here in St Kilda!
     
  4. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah not here, weather forecast this morning said mostly sunny, I reckon I saw the sun for about 10mins this morning before the cloud rolled in. Not drizzle showers either, proper big rain drops.
     
  5. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    9am GFS run

    [​IMG]
     
    #255 Claude Cat, Feb 7, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  6. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Good chance the fishing comp will be cancelled now, it looks pretty set in stone. I am seeing 5 days of trough action and decent rainfall amounts daily from Friday onwards on GFS.
     
  7. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    I'm not planning on getting out on WP this weekend.
     
  8. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Because of weather or other plans?
     
  9. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Was planning at heading out Sunday, but I'll get some brownie points up because of the weather and look to the following weekend.
     
  10. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Sounds like a plan. If we get out we will be tucked up behind French Island on a gummy hunt. Then back to whiting the following weekend. If it's going to be shoddy weather I will can it because I can take some rain but this is a 30min full tilt run and without full clears it's not nice.
     
  11. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Models have pretty much settled on this one. The sweet spot seems to be east Gippsland and NSW south of Canberra and west to Wagga Wagga. Looks like falls of 100mm+ are likely in this region.
    I think we'll get 10-20mm in Melbourne, more in the east.
     
  12. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    #262 rocketboy, Feb 8, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 14, 2013
  13. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Can't see it being cold enough IMO.
     
  14. ice_man

    ice_man One of Us

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    No way, a system like that wouldn't give us snow in the middle of winter.
     
  15. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    All models have back away from the totals they had been forecasting over the last few days, now it looks like 20-30mm is going to be the max seen (except for isolated heavier falls). It starts today apparently but I can only see the possibility of a few small storms this afternoon, for my liking tomorrow will be the first day of afternoon/evening showers.
     
  16. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Some cooking happening this morning in Melbourne. Started off cool but now the temperature is moving up, light wind, not a cloud in the sky, and a few stars showing up on the satelite. Could be something this afternoon after all.
     
  17. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    EC still showing 20mm+ for Melbourne, mostly on Saturday.
    Still looks very wet in the east of Victoria & NSW Alps.
     
  18. loweee

    loweee One of Us

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    Just starting to spit here in Jindy and by the looks of the radar a bit more to come with some possible storm action this afternoon. I noticed an article on Weatherzone with a flood watch for the Queenbeyan valley.

    Me thinks cricket may not be on this weekend [​IMG]
     
    #268 loweee, Feb 9, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  19. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    SW wind in Melbourne, it looks like it's a bit too far East for us here today.
     
  20. loweee

    loweee One of Us

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    Not too far from here. Lightning overhead and it is coming down at about 10-20mm an hour rate as I type.
     
  21. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Don't think we'll see much until tomorrow afternoon.
     
    #271 Claude Cat, Feb 9, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  22. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    #272 Claude Cat, Feb 9, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 14, 2013
  23. ice_man

    ice_man One of Us

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    Lots happening around here but all missing us at this stage.
     
  24. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    Pham...its raining in the gong...we are hitting 2mm a min at times
     
  25. davidg

    davidg Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    103mm in Penrith since about 3pm. Localised flooding around the place, work should be interestng in the morning.
     
  26. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    My rain gauge at 745pm had 4mm at 11 pm it had 108mm
     
  27. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  28. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Bulk falls in NSW that's for sure, but luckily not as much or as heavy in VIC, save for Lang Lang which got 55mm out of a supercell.

    Today is the day for Melbourne and surrounds, although the charts are showing it might be a bit far south. This morning it is much warmer than yesterday, light cloud cover and almost no wind to speak of. I like.
     
  29. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Downgrade on rainfall for Melbourne out of this lot. 5mm perhaps.
     
  30. loweee

    loweee One of Us

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    Looks like it is about to fire up along the vic ranges
     
  31. Donza

    Donza Pool Room

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    [​IMG]

    Yeah it did rain a bit in the gong

    [​IMG]

    the second pic is the nortth gong pub beer garden...um thats a picnic table you can see the top of
     
    #281 Donza, Feb 10, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  32. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Boom shakka lakka, here we go.
     
  33. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    STW issued, will update.

    [​IMG]
     
    #283 Claude Cat, Feb 10, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  34. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    BOM have also issued flood watches

    Initial Minor Flood Warning for the Barwon River.

    Flood Watch for East Gippsland (Mitchell, Tambo, Snowy, Cann and Genoa Rivers)

    Flood Watch For Greater Melbourne Catchments (Werribee, Maribyrnong, Yarra, Dandenong And Bunyip)

    Flood Watch for the Barwon, Moorabool, Leigh and Hovells Creek Catchments and Otway Ranges

    Flood Watch for West and South Gippsland (Latrobe, Thomson, Macalister and Avon Catchments and South Gippsland Basin)
     
  35. loweee

    loweee One of Us

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    Medium sized hail here in Jindy right now.
     
  36. wangster

    wangster A Local

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    My deck. Sorry if it is too big, no idea how to resize on this ipad thingy

    [​IMG]
     
    #286 wangster, Feb 10, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  37. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Looking very dark in the north, north east for Melbourne.

    STW issued for Melbourne

    [​IMG]

    Will update
     
    #287 Claude Cat, Feb 10, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  38. ice_man

    ice_man One of Us

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    Radar exploded around Gippsland this afternoon but we yet again missed out.
     
  39. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Fizzed over most of Melbourne too.
     
  40. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah missed us here, drizzling a little bit now. Bummer. On the upside looks like im fishing this weekend.
     
  41. phantomas

    phantomas Hard Yards

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    that's a paddlin'
    [​IMG]
     
    #291 phantomas, Feb 11, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  42. phantomas

    phantomas Hard Yards

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    yeah I saw that driving up old windsor rd
    [​IMG]
     
    #292 phantomas, Feb 11, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  43. ice_man

    ice_man One of Us

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    Have a report that it's now pouring at the Gippsland home. Trust that to happen when I move back to Melbourne so I can't see it [​IMG]
     
    #293 ice_man, Feb 11, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  44. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    10-15kts up my end of the bay tomorrow (from a proper forecaster, not my own forecasts) means we should be good to launch. North Arm could be interesting on the way back in.
     
  45. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    A few heavy showers moving in from the SE over Melbourne. Just got soaked getting the washing in.
     
  46. wangster

    wangster A Local

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    Just drove through an intense cell over Berridale. Marble size hail, very heavy rain, lots of lightning. Very small though, it pretty much just covered Berridale side to side. A couple of km either side of town there was no rain
     
  47. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    IMO we're in for an unsettled week.
    9am GFS suggests moderate falls from Gippsland through to mid / coastal NSW


    [​IMG]

    Stormcasts shows the possibility of storms pretty much most afternoons this week. This afternoon and Friday look most active, but the other afternoons are a reasonable chance too. Melbourne on the edge of it, might miss out.
     
    #297 Claude Cat, Feb 13, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  48. Untele-whippet

    Untele-whippet beard stroker Ski Pass: Gold

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    Just had a fairly intense hail storm in Katoomba, lasted about 10 mins, sun out now. Its heading towards Sydney now.
     
  49. Untele-whippet

    Untele-whippet beard stroker Ski Pass: Gold

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    Hmm, suns gone, getting hammered again.
     
  50. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    A few small cells moving through eastern 'burbs of Melbourne. 30C and high humidity, nice. [​IMG]
     
    #300 Claude Cat, Feb 15, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013