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The Sizzling Summer Weather Banter thread!

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Dec 1, 2011.

  1. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Pretty sticky and hot here, could do with a shower to cool things down for a while.
     
  2. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Just fallen to below 30 here, but 60% humidity means it doesn't feel that cool.
     
  3. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    I was loving this sort of weather a couple of weeks ago, not so now [​IMG]
     
    #303 Vermillion, Feb 15, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  4. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Looks like some storms coming in from the NW (looks to be at Macedon)


    BOM has posted STW for the state.

    [​IMG]

    Will update.
     
    #304 Claude Cat, Feb 16, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  5. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Looking very dark in the NW now.

    [​IMG]
     
    #305 Claude Cat, Feb 16, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  6. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Solid line of storms coming our way, I might clear out of work right on time instead of late today.
     
  7. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Pissing down now in St Kilda.
     
  8. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    [​IMG] black core on the radar just coming into St Kilda.
     
    #308 Claude Cat, Feb 16, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  9. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Oh man this is going to be nasty as.
     
  10. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  11. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Dandenongs would have some flash flooding for sure. We did OK here got 20mm and a heap of big drops but nothing too bad. Lots of runoff though.
     
  12. ians 158

    ians 158 One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Flogged down here in Boronia,at around 4.20 pm Dorset rd was almost stand still.
    Backed off a bit after that.
     
  13. ice_man

    ice_man One of Us

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    Was working at the pool today, sky turned incredibly black, almost closed on account of inadequate lighting! Within a minute of ordering all the kids out of the pool due to lightning it hammered down. May end up with raised water levels in the pools [​IMG]

    24.5mm this evening at my place.
     
    #313 ice_man, Feb 16, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  14. loweee

    loweee One of Us

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    Just firing up in Jindy again now for the 7 consecutive day now at around 4-5pm
     
  15. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    GFS got that pretty much right, didn't it.
     
  16. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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  17. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Get the feeling that the models do a lot better in summer?
     
  18. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    They dont seem to produce as many 'dreamland' systems then downgrade downgrade downgrade for 3-4 days before the event.
     
  19. ice_man

    ice_man One of Us

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    If anything they upgrade. Things sometimes come out of nowhere about 3 days out.

    In the case of the last lot of storms only a cool change was forecast.
     
  20. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    GFS had instability for the whole week, and that was pretty much true.
     
  21. MickM

    MickM One of Us Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    Anyone else think winds in Vic seem to have been dominated by SE this summer?

    Maybe I am noticing more cos I bought a surfboard this year!!
     
  22. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    Its been a beautiful early autumn weekend on the Real CC
     
  23. Wally

    Wally One of Us Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    Agree Mick- Definately more SE/E winds blowing this summer in Vic than previous years. East Gippsland rivers are flowing at a good level at the moment due to all the storm activity the past 3 weeks.
     
    #323 Wally, Feb 19, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  24. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Looking like some rain / storms developing late Saturday and in to Sunday for Victoria.

    [​IMG]

    GFS showing some good rainfall, in particular in the west of the state.
    Following which we get a strong SW change. Could be cold enough for some snow showers above 1200m in Tasmania on Monday.
     
    #324 Claude Cat, Feb 20, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  25. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    this morning's GFS run gives us this

    [​IMG]

    Chance of some storms this afternoon in Victoria, also tomorrow in the east.
    Weekend looks very stormy.
     
    #325 Claude Cat, Feb 21, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  26. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Weekend and next week shaping up as very wet on EC.
    EC is tracking a day behind the GFS system - it's showing the cold weather arriving Tuesday. It's showing 50mm+ for the period (Melbourne).
     
  27. ice_man

    ice_man One of Us

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    Weekend is looking quite warm at this stage, but also building humidity. Most models are going for heavy and widespread rain, but timing differs slightly. Seems to be around Monday or Monday night.
     
  28. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Yes, warm but humid. Low 30s & 50% humidity.
    I doubt we'll see 40 again for the rest of summer / early autumn now.
     
  29. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Every GFS run since has the moisture tracking further and further north.
    It's now looking like NSW will get smashed early next week.

    [​IMG]
     
    #329 Claude Cat, Feb 22, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  30. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Sunday looks windy, and I have a charter [​IMG]
     
    #330 Vermillion, Feb 22, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  31. ice_man

    ice_man One of Us

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    Agree that GFS is concentrating the rainfall into a small area. ACCESS on the other hand has gone overboard [​IMG]
     
    #331 ice_man, Feb 22, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  32. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    If it's troughy which it looks like it will be then I cant see it being isolated. I also cant see the models being able to predict it that well, although they have done a good job so far.
     
  33. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    EC has 34mm forecast for Melbourne on Monday, with 15mm to follow.
     
  34. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Models still twiching about where the moisture is going to end up with this one. Eg GFS back to a more central system, but EC has backed off a little.
    BOM's current analysis shows us this.

    [​IMG]
     
    #334 Claude Cat, Feb 23, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  35. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Looks exciting on Monday.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
    #335 Claude Cat, Feb 23, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  36. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Models all going for a big Monday & Tuesday, seems pretty much locked in. EC now 70mm for Melbourne. Monday going to be stormy.

    [​IMG]
     
    #336 Claude Cat, Feb 24, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  37. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Jesus that's off the chart. Im looking at 15-20kt winds for PPB on Sunday for my whiting charter, could be an interesting one, especially with nowhere to hide in the gay bay. With this sort of heavy rain, if it eventuates that is, the drains and creeks flowing into both bays will be very dirty and full of junk, fishing and swimming will probably be off-limits for a few days.
     
  38. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Perhaps the last hurrah for really warm weather this weekend too. 37, and sticky tomorrow in Melbourne. Not going to be nice.
     
  39. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Not convinced it's going to be that windy on Sunday.

    GFS would have it around 10knts

    [​IMG]

    ACCESS perhaps a touch stronger 15 knts

    [​IMG]
     
    #339 Claude Cat, Feb 24, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  40. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yes it has died back in the past couple of days, it was looking really dicey at the beginning of the week. Could still be OK.
     
  41. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Sometimes I think GFS just goes over the top ...

    [​IMG]
     
    #341 Claude Cat, Feb 24, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  42. Vermillion

    Vermillion Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    lololololololol at least it's not progging a monster ECL.
     
  43. ice_man

    ice_man One of Us

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    GFS on BSCH always does. Although Stormcast is useful [​IMG]

    Not that warm this morning, definitely doesn't feel like it could be a mid 30's day today at all. Humidity is very high though.
     
    #343 ice_man, Feb 24, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 18, 2013
  44. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Not just BSCH, look at accumulated precipitation on weatheronline, it's the same.
    As it should be, they both use the same raw GFS data.
     
  45. ice_man

    ice_man One of Us

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    It always seems more over the top on BSCH than on WZ for some reason.

    Evening's GFS run has the moisture a bit further south IMO. AXS is adamant that we in Gippsland will get drenched, hasn't changed its stance over the past few days.
     
  46. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    [​IMG]

    Not sure it's further south.
    Better build that ark. Make that a big one.

    [​IMG]
     
    #346 Claude Cat, Feb 24, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  47. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    backed off a bit this mornings run. Still would be keen to see the updated 7 day CC.
     
  48. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    9am GFS run

    [​IMG]
     
    #348 Claude Cat, Feb 25, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  49. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    BOM

    [​IMG]
     
    #349 Claude Cat, Feb 25, 2012
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 12, 2013
  50. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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