Mega Thread The Spring Weather Banter Thread

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Claude Cat, Oct 1, 2018.

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  1. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike
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    Winter is over, only 9 months to next southern hemisphere season!
     
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  2. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us

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  3. Seafm

    Seafm Too far from the snow
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    Looks like SDS is kicking in earlier than expected.
     
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  4. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us
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    Sunny, a little breezy, a little sneezy and clear in Melbourne today. We dropped to 4.7 overnight in the city and so far are up to 23, a pretty big range for us.

    In the sunshine today it certainly feels like spring which I begrudgingly accept.
     
  5. Donzah

    Donzah Part of the Furniture
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    Odd title
     
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  6. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room
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    LOL I'd like to be heading into autumn again. Let's skip summer altogether!
     
  7. Ubiquitous Steve

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    Well appears the spring will be short lived anyhow!

    It’s probably ganna skip straight into summer faip’s.:whistle:
     
  8. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    Works for those of us looking like staying home this Northern winter.
    :(
     
  9. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    Looking warm n moist later in the week.
    Not quite classic pineapple but will do till we get one.....
    Might cancel the planned bc trip.
     
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  10. Donzah

    Donzah Part of the Furniture
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    We need the rain
    Pity its not on the weekend
    Bathurst!
     
  11. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike
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    No rain Sunday, please. I have 300km to ride.
    Looking good at the moment.
     
  12. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike
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  13. Donzah

    Donzah Part of the Furniture
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    Its ok ...its moving into winter
    should be cool and clear
     
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  14. Seafm

    Seafm Too far from the snow
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    Do you wanna watch a wet race?
     
  15. Edgecrusher

    Edgecrusher Pool Room
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    I drove right up the Hume yesterday to Gundagai and back. The green tinges are deceptive, not much grass around. A few warm and windy days and she’ll be browned off quick.
     
  16. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Walking on a dream
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  17. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us
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    Driest September in over 100 years for Melbourne...

     
  18. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    Looking forward to this , lets hope it delivers.

     
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  19. Donzah

    Donzah Part of the Furniture
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    Looking even better
     
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  20. SMSkier

    SMSkier One of Us
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    Check these cloud formations. Taken while touring this morning......looks like aliens landing...




     
  21. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    build an arc D !
    kwickly !!
    edit : 12 z chart
    [​IMG]
     
    #21 nfip, Oct 2, 2018
    Last edited: Oct 3, 2018
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  22. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    incoming. latest sat. radar and water vapour
     
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  23. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us
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    Very jealous, we need some of that down this way in VIC
     
  24. Chowder11

    Chowder11 Part of the Furniture
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    Warm and Muggy here in Melbourne this morning. Chance of a rumble later today???
     
  25. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    this punters go-to here.
    [​IMG]
     
  26. davidg

    davidg Part of the Furniture
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    Great to see plenty of it forecast to fall inland as well.
     
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  27. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike
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    No, I don't think so.
    Cooler change from the SW will put and end to that pretty quickly.
     
  28. cookieman

    cookieman One of Us

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    Good to see parts of NSW and Sydney looking at getting a good soak.
    Vic and Melbourne now desperately needing some with nothing special on the horizon.
    Sunday should be OK for your ride CC.
     
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  29. The Fallen

    The Fallen One of Us
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    BoM predicting some big totals for Sydney and Cenco tomorrow and Friday. Looks like they have doubled their upper totals over the last 24 hours.

    I think they are heading in the right direction by upgrading totals given the last few events for Umina ended up well in excess of predicted totals. I think the 21c water temps off Newy and the Mid North coast will, and is having a big impact on predicted totals. Expect lots of localized flooding along the Cenco area if this plays out as expected IMO.
     
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  30. The Fallen

    The Fallen One of Us
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    Edit. They just dropped totals back for Friday but Thursday still looks good. Time to track the radar as it's a Low and lows do whatever they want ha ha. Still think the Newy warm pool will feed totals for Cenco though.
     
  31. Donzah

    Donzah Part of the Furniture
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    Some real nice Flash bang in the west of the state.

    decent as Cell also pushing through Wagga
     
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  32. Kletterer

    Kletterer Loading Dock Manager
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    Might get a bit .
     
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  33. Donzah

    Donzah Part of the Furniture
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    If we get a rain train onto the Illawarra. We'll get some decent totals
     
  34. Kletterer

    Kletterer Loading Dock Manager
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    Dapto Dogs might get a little soggy tomorow night imo.
     
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  35. Donzah

    Donzah Part of the Furniture
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    Toot toot arrives at dinner
     
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  36. Kletterer

    Kletterer Loading Dock Manager
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    Maybe some Escarpment fodder a little later ?
     
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  37. Donzah

    Donzah Part of the Furniture
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    Depends on the inflow.
    Ideal is due east
    Thats pretty uncommon.
    Looks S/E at the moment which should push into the horseshoe around robertson
     
  38. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    it's been looking like it for quite few days now and holding pretty firm on its poz.
    edit if anything it's looking wetter further down along the coast viz the S/SE you mentioned
     
  39. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    interestingly .....


    [​IMG]
     
  40. Kletterer

    Kletterer Loading Dock Manager
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    Im not entirely sold on the temp gradients/ shear patterns currently shown on GFS for tomorow night ( looking at 950,850 and 700 hPa contrasts) .
     
  41. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us
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    This came in today's batch of press releases


    Lilly Pilly fossils reveal snowless Snowy Mountains
    https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2018-10/uoa-lpf100318.php
    University of Adelaide
    Leaf fossils discovered high in Australia's Snowy Mountains have revealed a past history of warmer rainforest vegetation and a lack of snow, in contrast with the alpine vegetation and winter snow-covered slopes of today.

    University of Adelaide research, published in the American Journal of Botany, describes fossils of the iconic Australian tree, the Lilly Pilly, prized for its glossy, green leaves, white flowers, and red or pink edible fruits, and commonly planted in streets and gardens across Australia.

    Lilly Pilly trees (from the genus Syzygium) occur naturally in tropical to subtropical rainforests throughout Australasia, southern Asia and Africa, not mountain slopes covered by winter snow.

    Researchers identified fossil Lilly Pilly leaves recovered from old gold mining pits near the historic town of Kiandra, 1400 metres above sea level in the Snowy Mountains of New South Wales. The fossils are preserved in ancient lake sediments, overlain by basalt rock, deposited by lava flows that erupted during some of the last stages of uplift that produced the Eastern Highlands about 20 million years ago.

    "The Lilly Pilly was a traditional food source for Aboriginal peoples and early European settlers and is still an important food source for many native animals and birds, as well as used for making cakes and jams," says lead researcher Myall Tarran, PhD candidate in the University's School of Biological Sciences.

    "But despite being such an important and iconic plant, no convincing fossils have ever been described in the scientific literature, until now.

    "These fossils add to growing evidence that in this region about 20 million years ago there would have been temperate rainforest. The climate was warmer and wetter, perhaps analogous to the modern day Atherton Tablelands in North Queensland.

    "There would have been no, or very little, winter snowfall and the alpine zone, as we know it in the Snowy Mountains, was not yet established."

    Mr Tarran says it's possible the lack of snow was a result of continuing tectonic uplift, but higher atmospheric carbon dioxide levels were likely to have played a role.

    "Uplift still hadn't fully finished in the region at that stage, so perhaps this forest was actually growing at a slightly lower altitude," he says. "But we also know that atmospheric carbon dioxide levels, and therefore global average temperatures, were much higher during this time."

    "The fossils provide us with a window into what the Snowy Mountains looked like in a much warmer world, and help us to think about what a warmer world will look like. For us here in Australia, that might mean no snow in the mountains."

    Science Paper
    http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ajb2.1163
     
  42. Chaeron

    Chaeron One of Us
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    Could change it to the fire season thread...
     
  43. nfip

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    is glass half full thread.
    sds is alive n well.
    i observe some very usefull rain out is western and central western NSW.
    here on the coast has been light but steady for 12-18 hrs.
    heaviest yet incoming this afternoon as the L circulates more moisture from the relativeley warm waters
     
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  44. Ubiquitous Steve

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    There you have it....we are on our way back to the future....sorry we mean the past....
    The Snowy Mts to become Lillypilly Land once more!Succession proceeds....we are going back in time!:whistle:

    Good to snack on when doing a Kto K on the Mt Bike....
     
  45. The Fallen

    The Fallen One of Us
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    12ml and counting for Umina. It's a good start but we always do best once the wind swings SE so the best should still be left to come.

    The low looks to be still on track to cross the coast around Newy so it could get nasty overnight. Pasha Bulka MKII or a Colloroy repeat on the cards?
     
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  46. The Fallen

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    Looks like the southerly has hit Sydney with 32kph out of the SSW. This should start to feed the beast. Mid level NW sliding rain meeting Southerly to SE surface winds. Should be game on shortly
     
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  47. shauno

    shauno Hard Yards

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    14c max in Canberra today really feels a bit like winter
     
  48. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    yup. same on South Co.
    14mm on my aws, 14 degs and hasnt let up.
    radar and sat has been checked regularly watching this one when it hits the water with interest..
     
  49. nfip

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    fwiw surface winds plot

    and da chart to match
    [​IMG]
     
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  50. The Fallen

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    Heavy stuff starting to push in from the SE just south of the Gong. Time for the rain train Donz.

     
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