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Mega Thread The Weather Forum Epic BBQ thread

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Sandy, May 31, 2010.

  1. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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  2. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    better with the pressure ,
    but not so with the geo ht. ?
    GFS has 540 much further North.
     
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  3. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    It'll most certainly do for April!:thumbs:
     
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  4. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Absolutely.
    Loving the shape , and the recent pattern we observe.
    Steady as she goes .
     
  5. stridercdh

    stridercdh Addicted

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    Hmm I wonder if there will be much in the way of snow from this system?
     
  6. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    At the moment:
    [​IMG]
    EC has 5-8cm on the cards for the Main Range.
    [​IMG]
    And GFS has 10-15cm on the cards for the Main Range. But it doesn't show snow for the Victorian Alps, unlike EC that shows Dusting-5cm for the Vic Alps. But snowfall totals will become much more clear closer to the event.
     
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  7. stridercdh

    stridercdh Addicted

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    Thanks for that. Fingers crossed for Vic for some sightseeing snow.
     
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  8. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  9. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Jellybeans likes this.
  10. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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  11. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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  12. Undies

    Undies Premature Pool Room Person Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yikes. Better enjoy this current cool weather, might be the last we have for a while.
     
  13. stridercdh

    stridercdh Addicted

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  14. Undies

    Undies Premature Pool Room Person Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looking at the chance of above mean temps, the BOM seems to think it will be a fairly warm period compared to normal. But that's probably what it will say every year from here on in.
     
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  15. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Very low chance of exceeding median rainfall is unfavourable also (a dry seasonal average). they tend to have a reasonable skill/accuracy on them too.

     
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  16. Undies

    Undies Premature Pool Room Person Ski Pass: Gold

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    Dry and warm aren't really the words we want to see on a ski forum, are they?
     
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  17. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Come to think of it, I can't think of any forums that want those two words posted...
     
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  18. Undies

    Undies Premature Pool Room Person Ski Pass: Gold

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    The Australian Naturist Forums, perhaps?
     
  19. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    Except the Sunshine forums.
     
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  20. dogski

    dogski Hard Yards

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    Take these with a grain of salt.Their forecasts are always either on the warm side of above night and day temps as well as below average rainfall.
     
  21. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Links pls!?;)
     
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  22. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    [​IMG]
    The rainfall accuracy is reasonably high for a climate model.
    [​IMG]
    And the Max Temp predictions are even better for the Alps.
     
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  23. Undies

    Undies Premature Pool Room Person Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's allowed to be dry and a little bit warmer than average if that is interspersed with short bursts of eipc cold and wet. The clear nights can then turn the base into concrete.
     
  24. stridercdh

    stridercdh Addicted

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    So, in short, don't bother dusting off the skis this season? :( Bloody grim lol.
     
  25. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    No, climate outlooks sometimes stuff up and Late Season might be great. But it doesn't like a great pre season according to all the guidance we have.
     
    #10425 Jellybeans, Apr 27, 2017
    Last edited: Apr 27, 2017
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  26. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Chin up bro.
    You'll still have some fun.
    Do a bit of research , bit of storm - watching and sweat on the models and the crap we read ( and write :whistle: )here.
    When it's on , load the van and go for it.
    If it's not . go anyways better than staying home being miserable wishing you where going.... !
    ;)
     
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  27. stridercdh

    stridercdh Addicted

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    Exactly. I will be keeping the car ready to go at a moment's notice. Fingers crossed for some decent cold snaps.
     
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  28. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    We always worry that it will be too hot or too cold with no moisture at the beginning of each season.

    The fact is that it will snow, it will rain, it will be freezing and it will be warm. It won't ever be epic enough or powdery enough but we'll all have fun and live to see in season 2018.
     
  29. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Hopefully... 'til this guys rocks up.
    [​IMG]
     
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  30. stridercdh

    stridercdh Addicted

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    Amen to that. I guess the warm outlook always leaves me worried. But yes, we always have snow. And yes, I always make the most of it and have fun every season. :)
     
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  31. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    [​IMG]
     
  32. kimberlee81

    kimberlee81 One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Dunno about that...

    [​IMG]
     
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  33. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Meanwhile, today Hotham be like...
     
  34. Rush

    Rush Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Wrong.
     
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  35. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Ripped from a friends fb.
    She walks this stretch each day and saw the Clouds , then this...
    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
  36. Rush

    Rush Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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  37. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    Would anybody know of a yearly record of the expanse of the Siberian Snow Cover? I am working on some correlations for the Japanese snow seasonal forecast.
     
  38. Tanuki

    Tanuki A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Mild and wet in sMelbourne for this time of year. 20c max tomorrow with sub tropical depression moving over us
     
  39. MarkV

    MarkV One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    the "Arctic Sea Ice Forum" may have this sort of information.
     
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  40. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    That's actually funny because it's a real thing.
    https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/

    But it's fine, Judah Cohen gave me a great link.
     
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  41. bondibob

    bondibob Addicted Ski Pass: Gold

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  42. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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  43. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Well what else would you be doing with this in the back paddock ???
    [​IMG]
     
  44. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Could we be in for some tropical influence ?
     
  45. Sno Sno SNO

    Sno Sno SNO Hard Yards

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    At least he won't hear what's coming....
     
  46. VSG

    VSG Pool Room Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  47. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  48. melty68

    melty68 One of Us

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    Seriously I have been on here for a while....but now you have to be a meotorogicalllllly freak to say if a cold front might come over and snow a bit ffs
     
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  49. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Not at all. Above post is just a Sea Surface Temperature thingymibob with change in temp in Celcius.
     
  50. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN One of Us

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    Just been viewing the noodles within SPAG and things are looking up imo.