Precipitation amounts totaled over several days to weeks is one of the hardest things to forecast for a specific location. I have observed that good forecasts can often be close to the mark for significant rainfall in a general region, but accuracy for a specific location is much harder to achieve. Viewing the ensemble forecast members helps to gain a better appreciation of spatial displacement variation, magnitude (total rain) variation, and pattern variation that often occurs with significant rainfall events. But it is tedious trawling through all of the ensemble members to gain that appreciation. Animations attached show the control member and each of the fifty ensemble members. 5 day, 10 day, and 15 day from the EC EPS, and 46 day from the EC extended. It's much easier to moderate expectations when you have an appreciation of the variation and difficulty in forecasting rain amounts.