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Predictions Weak systems 23rd -29th July

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Jul 19, 2017.

  1. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Situation normal
     
    Taipan likes this.
  2. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Best snow forecaster, caveats.
    Always bullish. Too definitive.

    Decaying fronts.
    Up to 25cm for the period with some falling as rain in for mine.
     
    rocketboy, skidazza and Claude Cat like this.
  3. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Theta showing some fronto in it. Ok moisture but 2 metre temps looking sus IMO
     
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  4. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    AXS sticking with 10-15 >1600.
    here temps for the "pre frontal" / moisture.
    [​IMG]

    cumulative totes by 10am

    [​IMG]
     
    Kletterer and 1st_King_of_QBN like this.
  5. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Might get pushed out to 30th.
     
    rM788 likes this.
  6. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Obvious warm feed has me concerned.
     
  7. glengary

    glengary One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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  8. snowgum

    snowgum One of Us

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    Sorry CC: this is forecast related.

    I note the 4:20 updates haven't been updated in Vic. 'We' are usually later than NSW but this looks it might be related to the planned strike action I heard about during the week - at the BOM?
     
  9. MickM

    MickM One of Us Ski Pass: Gold Ski Pass: Silver

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    YR/No looks good for Buller, but not sure how accurate?
     
  10. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Updated now at 5pm
     
  11. maverik

    maverik Hard Yards

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    nice blob on the radar about to hit
     
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  12. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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  13. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Clipitty
     
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  14. Adricat

    Adricat Addicted

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    Hi, any updates for da bo for next weekend?
     
  15. Rush

    Rush Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    [​IMG]
    That forecast would be a record high temperature for Victoria in July.
     
    The Plowking likes this.
  16. Tanuki

    Tanuki A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    bejesus
     
  17. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Forecast is for 19c and windy in Melbourne for that date above. Hairdryer anyone?
     
  18. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    T shirt weather Saturday.
    Will need the Yellow wax.
    Really blows in warm later into the night.
     
  19. chicski

    chicski A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Forecast of 16c in Jindy :eek: Time to the (water) skis out.
     
  20. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    This period looks pretty good IMO.

    Steady accumulations all week, wandering cold pools. Than bang bang.
     
  21. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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  22. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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  23. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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  24. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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  25. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Maybe the kite board.
    Looking windy.
     
  26. skidazza

    skidazza Hard Yards

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    Jane was spot on for Sunday (5-10cm) - and still liking the rest of this week (and acknowledging a bit of early r**n on some days).

    Here's hoping this eventuates too :)
     
  27. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    Drive down Sat to ... check the weather :thumbs:
     
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  28. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Not seeing that sort of amount for tues/weds myself.
    Later in week looking OK on maps ATM.
     
    Claude Cat likes this.
  29. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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  30. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

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    Reasonably cold uppers Wednesday[​IMG] .
     
    Tanuki likes this.
  31. iagreewithhim

    iagreewithhim One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    A very long way from the snow
    That low south of the Bight on Friday is a brute. 944 hPa at the centre! Perth is expecting a shellacking as it comes through, and I think next weekend will be very interesting up on the big hills.
     
  32. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    IMO 15cm for Tues/Weds and the same again for Friday, so it hasn't changed that much since I looked a couple of days ago.
    Sunday is looking dangerous, though.
     
  33. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    15 Tuesday? Really?
     
  34. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

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    This is a thing
     
  35. chriscross

    chriscross One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Why Sunday dangerous? Hoping for a big one.
     
  36. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Rain
     
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  37. chriscross

    chriscross One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Thought that must be the worry, thanks mick. A tad too warm, again, perhaps? Hope not.
     
  38. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    IMO
    5-10cm for Tues/Weds system
    5-10cm for Thurs/Fri system
    A lot of rain and 5cm for Sat/Sun system.

    Looks bad.
     
    mick chopps and 1st_King_of_QBN like this.
  39. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Tuesday/Wednesday. Perisher could be a bit more IMO.
     
  40. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN One of Us

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    check out the 'fetch' for Saturday.... a Broome (West Australia) special.
     
  41. Karicta

    Karicta A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    I thought all doom and gloom, then I saw these....

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
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  42. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN One of Us

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    all aces for me. I leave on Saturday :)
     
  43. Lady Penelope

    Lady Penelope One of some lot ... Ski Pass: Gold

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    BOM offering up a massive downgrade for Wednesday (Perisher) from 15-20mm this morning to 3-6mm this afternoon. Ummm ....
     
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  44. chicski

    chicski A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Makes me selfishly happy ;)
     
  45. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Vic BOM (Hotham/Falls)

    Tuesday 25 July
    Summary

    Min -4
    Max 1
    Snow showers developing. Windy.
    Possible rainfall: 4 to 15 mm
    Chance of any rain: 80% [​IMG]
    Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of snow showers, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Winds northwesterly 40 to 60 km/h increasing to 60 to 75 km/h in the late evening.

    Wednesday 26 July
    Summary

    Min -1
    Max -1
    Snow showers. Windy.
    Possible rainfall: 2 to 8 mm
    Chance of any rain: 90% [​IMG]
    Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of snow showers. Winds northwesterly 60 to 70 km/h tending west to northwesterly 35 t
     
  46. Budgiesmuggler

    Budgiesmuggler A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    How is Sunday looking? I was planning to take my son down for his first ski but really don't want to do it in the rain.
     
  47. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS says maybe wet early turning to snow I think.
     
  48. skimax

    skimax Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    FAB
     
  49. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    out of this date range, but substantially wet below 1800m early, but snow level drops late morning. IMO
     
  50. Heelsideedge

    Heelsideedge First Runs

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    I was also thinking of heading down Sunday, with the hope of some fresh on Monday (chuck a snowie)
    Jane has 15 to 25cm in her forecast
    Others seem to indicate rain followed by circa 5cm.
    Is this system worth another thread or am I clutching at straws?

    (ps very long time reader of these forums... Love the Knowledge floating around)