Predictions Weak systems 23rd -29th July

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Claude Cat, Jul 19, 2017.

  1. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
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    Situation normal
     
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  2. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
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    Best snow forecaster, caveats.
    Always bullish. Too definitive.

    Decaying fronts.
    Up to 25cm for the period with some falling as rain in for mine.
     
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  3. Kletterer

    Kletterer Addicted Member
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    Theta showing some fronto in it. Ok moisture but 2 metre temps looking sus IMO
     
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  4. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    AXS sticking with 10-15 >1600.
    here temps for the "pre frontal" / moisture.
    [​IMG]

    cumulative totes by 10am

    [​IMG]
     
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  5. Kletterer

    Kletterer Addicted Member
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    Might get pushed out to 30th.
     
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  6. Kletterer

    Kletterer Addicted Member
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    Obvious warm feed has me concerned.
     
  7. glengary

    glengary Dedicated Member
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  8. snowgum

    snowgum Dedicated Member

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    Sorry CC: this is forecast related.

    I note the 4:20 updates haven't been updated in Vic. 'We' are usually later than NSW but this looks it might be related to the planned strike action I heard about during the week - at the BOM?
     
  9. MickM

    MickM Dedicated Member
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    YR/No looks good for Buller, but not sure how accurate?
     
  10. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
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    Updated now at 5pm
     
  11. maverik

    maverik Active Member

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    nice blob on the radar about to hit
     
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  12. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
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  13. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
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    Clipitty
     
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  14. Adricat

    Adricat Active Member

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    Hi, any updates for da bo for next weekend?
     
  15. Rush

    Rush Pool Room
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    [​IMG]
    That forecast would be a record high temperature for Victoria in July.
     
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  16. Tanuki

    Tanuki Dedicated Member
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    bejesus
     
  17. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU Dedicated Member
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    Forecast is for 19c and windy in Melbourne for that date above. Hairdryer anyone?
     
  18. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    T shirt weather Saturday.
    Will need the Yellow wax.
    Really blows in warm later into the night.
     
  19. chicski

    chicski Dedicated Member
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    Forecast of 16c in Jindy :eek: Time to the (water) skis out.
     
  20. 7wombathead

    7wombathead Dedicated Member

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    This period looks pretty good IMO.

    Steady accumulations all week, wandering cold pools. Than bang bang.
     
  21. 7wombathead

    7wombathead Dedicated Member

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  22. 7wombathead

    7wombathead Dedicated Member

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  23. 7wombathead

    7wombathead Dedicated Member

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  24. 7wombathead

    7wombathead Dedicated Member

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  25. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture
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    Maybe the kite board.
    Looking windy.
     
  26. skidazza

    skidazza Active Member

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    Jane was spot on for Sunday (5-10cm) - and still liking the rest of this week (and acknowledging a bit of early r**n on some days).

    Here's hoping this eventuates too :)
     
  27. dawooduck

    dawooduck Pool Room
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    Drive down Sat to ... check the weather :thumbs:
     
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  28. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
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    Not seeing that sort of amount for tues/weds myself.
    Later in week looking OK on maps ATM.
     
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  29. 7wombathead

    7wombathead Dedicated Member

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  30. 7wombathead

    7wombathead Dedicated Member

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    Reasonably cold uppers Wednesday[​IMG] .
     
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  31. iagreewithhim

    iagreewithhim Dedicated Member

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    That low south of the Bight on Friday is a brute. 944 hPa at the centre! Perth is expecting a shellacking as it comes through, and I think next weekend will be very interesting up on the big hills.
     
  32. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
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    IMO 15cm for Tues/Weds and the same again for Friday, so it hasn't changed that much since I looked a couple of days ago.
    Sunday is looking dangerous, though.
     
  33. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
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    15 Tuesday? Really?
     
  34. dawooduck

    dawooduck Pool Room
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    This is a thing
     
  35. chriscross

    chriscross Dedicated Member
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    Why Sunday dangerous? Hoping for a big one.
     
  36. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
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    Rain
     
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  37. chriscross

    chriscross Dedicated Member
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    Thought that must be the worry, thanks mick. A tad too warm, again, perhaps? Hope not.
     
  38. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member
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    IMO
    5-10cm for Tues/Weds system
    5-10cm for Thurs/Fri system
    A lot of rain and 5cm for Sat/Sun system.

    Looks bad.
     
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  39. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
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    Tuesday/Wednesday. Perisher could be a bit more IMO.
     
  40. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN Well-Known Member

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    check out the 'fetch' for Saturday.... a Broome (West Australia) special.
     
  41. Karicta

    Karicta Dedicated Member
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    I thought all doom and gloom, then I saw these....

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
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  42. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN Well-Known Member

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    all aces for me. I leave on Saturday :)
     
  43. Lady Penelope

    Lady Penelope Dedicated Member
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    BOM offering up a massive downgrade for Wednesday (Perisher) from 15-20mm this morning to 3-6mm this afternoon. Ummm ....
     
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  44. chicski

    chicski Dedicated Member
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    Makes me selfishly happy ;)
     
  45. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
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    Vic BOM (Hotham/Falls)

    Tuesday 25 July
    Summary

    Min -4
    Max 1
    Snow showers developing. Windy.
    Possible rainfall: 4 to 15 mm
    Chance of any rain: 80% [​IMG]
    Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of snow showers, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Winds northwesterly 40 to 60 km/h increasing to 60 to 75 km/h in the late evening.

    Wednesday 26 July
    Summary

    Min -1
    Max -1
    Snow showers. Windy.
    Possible rainfall: 2 to 8 mm
    Chance of any rain: 90% [​IMG]
    Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of snow showers. Winds northwesterly 60 to 70 km/h tending west to northwesterly 35 t
     
  46. Budgiesmuggler

    Budgiesmuggler Addicted Member
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    How is Sunday looking? I was planning to take my son down for his first ski but really don't want to do it in the rain.
     
  47. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
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    GFS says maybe wet early turning to snow I think.
     
  48. skimax

    skimax Old And Crusty
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    FAB
     
  49. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
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    out of this date range, but substantially wet below 1800m early, but snow level drops late morning. IMO
     
  50. Heelsideedge

    Heelsideedge Just Registered

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    I was also thinking of heading down Sunday, with the hope of some fresh on Monday (chuck a snowie)
    Jane has 15 to 25cm in her forecast
    Others seem to indicate rain followed by circa 5cm.
    Is this system worth another thread or am I clutching at straws?

    (ps very long time reader of these forums... Love the Knowledge floating around)