Predictions Weak systems 23rd -29th July

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by Claude Cat, Jul 19, 2017.

Page 2 of 4
  1. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    17,897
    Likes Received:
    10,699
    Location:
    Bonbeach, Vic
    Situation normal
     
    #51 The Plowking, Jul 23, 2017
    Taipan likes this.
  2. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    17,897
    Likes Received:
    10,699
    Location:
    Bonbeach, Vic
    Best snow forecaster, caveats.
    Always bullish. Too definitive.

    Decaying fronts.
    Up to 25cm for the period with some falling as rain in for mine.
     
    #52 The Plowking, Jul 23, 2017
    rocketboy, skidazza and Claude Cat like this.
  3. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Nov 26, 2014
    Messages:
    18,887
    Likes Received:
    20,007
    Location:
    Canberra
    Theta showing some fronto in it. Ok moisture but 2 metre temps looking sus IMO
     
    #53 Kletterer, Jul 23, 2017
    1st_King_of_QBN likes this.
  4. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2006
    Messages:
    19,989
    Likes Received:
    22,081
    Location:
    NSW South Co
    AXS sticking with 10-15 >1600.
    here temps for the "pre frontal" / moisture.
    [​IMG]

    cumulative totes by 10am

    [​IMG]
     
    #54 nfip, Jul 23, 2017
    Kletterer and 1st_King_of_QBN like this.
  5. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Nov 26, 2014
    Messages:
    18,887
    Likes Received:
    20,007
    Location:
    Canberra
    Might get pushed out to 30th.
     
    #55 Kletterer, Jul 23, 2017
    rM788 likes this.
  6. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Nov 26, 2014
    Messages:
    18,887
    Likes Received:
    20,007
    Location:
    Canberra
    Obvious warm feed has me concerned.
     
    #56 Kletterer, Jul 23, 2017
  7. glengary

    glengary One of Us

    Joined:
    Jul 31, 2015
    Messages:
    627
    Likes Received:
    858
    Ouch !!!
     
    #57 glengary, Jul 23, 2017
  8. snowgum

    snowgum One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 4, 1999
    Messages:
    4,242
    Likes Received:
    2,076
    Location:
    vic
    Sorry CC: this is forecast related.

    I note the 4:20 updates haven't been updated in Vic. 'We' are usually later than NSW but this looks it might be related to the planned strike action I heard about during the week - at the BOM?
     
    #58 snowgum, Jul 23, 2017
  9. MickM

    MickM One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2001
    Messages:
    3,531
    Likes Received:
    2,323
    Location:
    Gordon, Vic
    YR/No looks good for Buller, but not sure how accurate?
     
    #59 MickM, Jul 23, 2017
  10. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    119,510
    Likes Received:
    62,566
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    Updated now at 5pm
     
    #60 Claude Cat, Jul 23, 2017
  11. maverik

    maverik Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Jun 12, 2003
    Messages:
    131
    Likes Received:
    74
    Location:
    Mona Vale, NSW
    nice blob on the radar about to hit
     
    #61 maverik, Jul 23, 2017
    skiingtk likes this.
  12. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    119,510
    Likes Received:
    62,566
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    [​IMG]
     
    #62 Claude Cat, Jul 23, 2017
    Mctavish, Billy_Buttons and The Plowking like this.
  13. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    17,897
    Likes Received:
    10,699
    Location:
    Bonbeach, Vic
    Clipitty
     
    #63 The Plowking, Jul 23, 2017
    nfip, Claude Cat and Charles like this.
  14. Adricat

    Adricat Addicted

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 2011
    Messages:
    998
    Likes Received:
    173
    Location:
    ACT
    Hi, any updates for da bo for next weekend?
     
    #64 Adricat, Jul 23, 2017
  15. Rush

    Rush Pool Room

    Joined:
    Jul 26, 2000
    Messages:
    45,291
    Likes Received:
    13,659
    [​IMG]
    That forecast would be a record high temperature for Victoria in July.
     
    #65 Rush, Jul 23, 2017
    The Plowking likes this.
  16. Tanuki

    Tanuki A Local Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Sep 29, 2010
    Messages:
    9,730
    Likes Received:
    5,942
    bejesus
     
    #66 Tanuki, Jul 23, 2017
  17. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 30, 2015
    Messages:
    1,774
    Likes Received:
    4,436
    Location:
    Melbourne City, VIC
    Forecast is for 19c and windy in Melbourne for that date above. Hairdryer anyone?
     
    #67 DiscoStuAU, Jul 23, 2017
  18. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2006
    Messages:
    19,989
    Likes Received:
    22,081
    Location:
    NSW South Co
    T shirt weather Saturday.
    Will need the Yellow wax.
    Really blows in warm later into the night.
     
    #68 nfip, Jul 23, 2017
  19. chicski

    chicski A Local Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Feb 22, 2017
    Messages:
    8,633
    Likes Received:
    14,800
    Forecast of 16c in Jindy :eek: Time to the (water) skis out.
     
    #69 chicski, Jul 23, 2017
  20. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2010
    Messages:
    1,859
    Likes Received:
    1,508
    Location:
    South
    This period looks pretty good IMO.

    Steady accumulations all week, wandering cold pools. Than bang bang.
     
    #70 7wombathead, Jul 23, 2017
  21. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2010
    Messages:
    1,859
    Likes Received:
    1,508
    Location:
    South
    [​IMG]
     
    #71 7wombathead, Jul 23, 2017
  22. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2010
    Messages:
    1,859
    Likes Received:
    1,508
    Location:
    South
    [​IMG]
     
    #72 7wombathead, Jul 23, 2017
  23. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2010
    Messages:
    1,859
    Likes Received:
    1,508
    Location:
    South
    [​IMG]
     
    #73 7wombathead, Jul 23, 2017
  24. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2010
    Messages:
    1,859
    Likes Received:
    1,508
    Location:
    South
    [​IMG]
     
    #74 7wombathead, Jul 23, 2017
    mr likes this.
  25. nfip

    nfip Cold n' Rusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2006
    Messages:
    19,989
    Likes Received:
    22,081
    Location:
    NSW South Co
    Maybe the kite board.
    Looking windy.
     
    #75 nfip, Jul 24, 2017
  26. skidazza

    skidazza Addicted

    Joined:
    Jul 4, 2013
    Messages:
    123
    Likes Received:
    107
    Jane was spot on for Sunday (5-10cm) - and still liking the rest of this week (and acknowledging a bit of early r**n on some days).

    Here's hoping this eventuates too :)
     
    #76 skidazza, Jul 24, 2017
    1st_King_of_QBN, FourSquare04, Karbon and 1 other person like this.
  27. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2002
    Messages:
    63,424
    Likes Received:
    38,524
    Location:
    Mountains
    Drive down Sat to ... check the weather :thumbs:
     
    #77 dawooduck, Jul 24, 2017
    CarveMan likes this.
  28. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    17,897
    Likes Received:
    10,699
    Location:
    Bonbeach, Vic
    Not seeing that sort of amount for tues/weds myself.
    Later in week looking OK on maps ATM.
     
    #78 The Plowking, Jul 24, 2017
    Claude Cat likes this.
  29. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2010
    Messages:
    1,859
    Likes Received:
    1,508
    Location:
    South
    [​IMG]
     
    #79 7wombathead, Jul 24, 2017
    dawooduck, 1st_King_of_QBN and Tanuki like this.
  30. 7wombathead

    7wombathead One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 4, 2010
    Messages:
    1,859
    Likes Received:
    1,508
    Location:
    South
    Reasonably cold uppers Wednesday[​IMG] .
     
    #80 7wombathead, Jul 24, 2017
    Tanuki likes this.
  31. iagreewithhim

    iagreewithhim One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    Sep 3, 2001
    Messages:
    1,934
    Likes Received:
    2,465
    Location:
    A very long way from everybody
    That low south of the Bight on Friday is a brute. 944 hPa at the centre! Perth is expecting a shellacking as it comes through, and I think next weekend will be very interesting up on the big hills.
     
    #81 iagreewithhim, Jul 24, 2017
  32. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    119,510
    Likes Received:
    62,566
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    IMO 15cm for Tues/Weds and the same again for Friday, so it hasn't changed that much since I looked a couple of days ago.
    Sunday is looking dangerous, though.
     
    #82 Claude Cat, Jul 24, 2017
  33. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    17,897
    Likes Received:
    10,699
    Location:
    Bonbeach, Vic
    15 Tuesday? Really?
     
    #83 The Plowking, Jul 24, 2017
  34. dawooduck

    dawooduck relaxed and comfortable Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Oct 26, 2002
    Messages:
    63,424
    Likes Received:
    38,524
    Location:
    Mountains
    This is a thing
     
    #84 dawooduck, Jul 24, 2017
  35. chriscross

    chriscross One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 1, 2005
    Messages:
    1,861
    Likes Received:
    624
    Location:
    The Foothills
    Why Sunday dangerous? Hoping for a big one.
     
    #85 chriscross, Jul 24, 2017
  36. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2006
    Messages:
    74,579
    Likes Received:
    57,182
    Location:
    The barber's chair
    Rain
     
    #86 mick chopps, Jul 24, 2017
    Claude Cat likes this.
  37. chriscross

    chriscross One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 1, 2005
    Messages:
    1,861
    Likes Received:
    624
    Location:
    The Foothills
    Thought that must be the worry, thanks mick. A tad too warm, again, perhaps? Hope not.
     
    #87 chriscross, Jul 24, 2017
  38. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    10,454
    Likes Received:
    14,792
    Location:
    Box Hill, Vic.
    IMO
    5-10cm for Tues/Weds system
    5-10cm for Thurs/Fri system
    A lot of rain and 5cm for Sat/Sun system.

    Looks bad.
     
    #88 Jellybeans, Jul 24, 2017
    mick chopps and 1st_King_of_QBN like this.
  39. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    119,510
    Likes Received:
    62,566
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    Tuesday/Wednesday. Perisher could be a bit more IMO.
     
    #89 Claude Cat, Jul 24, 2017
  40. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 6, 2013
    Messages:
    409
    Likes Received:
    555
    check out the 'fetch' for Saturday.... a Broome (West Australia) special.
     
    #90 1st_King_of_QBN, Jul 24, 2017
  41. Karicta

    Karicta A Local Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2011
    Messages:
    6,394
    Likes Received:
    4,392
    I thought all doom and gloom, then I saw these....

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
     
    #91 Karicta, Jul 24, 2017
    1st_King_of_QBN likes this.
  42. 1st_King_of_QBN

    1st_King_of_QBN One of Us

    Joined:
    Aug 6, 2013
    Messages:
    409
    Likes Received:
    555
    all aces for me. I leave on Saturday :)
     
    #92 1st_King_of_QBN, Jul 24, 2017
  43. Lady Penelope

    Lady Penelope One of some lot ... Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2014
    Messages:
    4,298
    Likes Received:
    11,347
    Location:
    Canberra
    BOM offering up a massive downgrade for Wednesday (Perisher) from 15-20mm this morning to 3-6mm this afternoon. Ummm ....
     
    #93 Lady Penelope, Jul 24, 2017
    chicski likes this.
  44. chicski

    chicski A Local Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Feb 22, 2017
    Messages:
    8,633
    Likes Received:
    14,800
    Makes me selfishly happy ;)
     
    #94 chicski, Jul 24, 2017
  45. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    119,510
    Likes Received:
    62,566
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    Vic BOM (Hotham/Falls)

    Tuesday 25 July
    Summary

    Min -4
    Max 1
    Snow showers developing. Windy.
    Possible rainfall: 4 to 15 mm
    Chance of any rain: 80% [​IMG]
    Partly cloudy. High (80%) chance of snow showers, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Winds northwesterly 40 to 60 km/h increasing to 60 to 75 km/h in the late evening.

    Wednesday 26 July
    Summary

    Min -1
    Max -1
    Snow showers. Windy.
    Possible rainfall: 2 to 8 mm
    Chance of any rain: 90% [​IMG]
    Cloudy. Very high (90%) chance of snow showers. Winds northwesterly 60 to 70 km/h tending west to northwesterly 35 t
     
    #95 Claude Cat, Jul 24, 2017
  46. Budgiesmuggler

    Budgiesmuggler A Local Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 7, 2010
    Messages:
    9,054
    Likes Received:
    6,619
    How is Sunday looking? I was planning to take my son down for his first ski but really don't want to do it in the rain.
     
    #96 Budgiesmuggler, Jul 25, 2017
  47. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2006
    Messages:
    74,579
    Likes Received:
    57,182
    Location:
    The barber's chair
    GFS says maybe wet early turning to snow I think.
     
    #97 mick chopps, Jul 25, 2017
  48. skimax

    skimax Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2000
    Messages:
    31,270
    Likes Received:
    4,848
    Location:
    Melbourne Australia
    FAB
     
    #98 skimax, Jul 25, 2017
  49. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    119,510
    Likes Received:
    62,566
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    out of this date range, but substantially wet below 1800m early, but snow level drops late morning. IMO
     
    #99 Claude Cat, Jul 25, 2017
  50. Heelsideedge

    Heelsideedge Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2017
    Messages:
    6
    Likes Received:
    1
    Location:
    Sydney
    I was also thinking of heading down Sunday, with the hope of some fresh on Monday (chuck a snowie)
    Jane has 15 to 25cm in her forecast
    Others seem to indicate rain followed by circa 5cm.
    Is this system worth another thread or am I clutching at straws?

    (ps very long time reader of these forums... Love the Knowledge floating around)
     
    #100 Heelsideedge, Jul 25, 2017
(You must log in or sign up to post here.)
Page 2 of 4