Well to me it seems like getting excited about NYE and we haven't even had Christmas yet. Anyway I predict I will now go to the obs thread
Access R bang on with last nights fall. http://data.theweather.com.au/acces...ge=grads/access-r/wz.access-r.nsw.mslp.72.png That looks wet.
yep wind and bogong dont mix. I was up there in summer years ago and a front came in and turned to snow and blizzard overnight.. One of the guys i was leading off the summit in that had his cheapo waterproof overpants literaly blown off him. Someone else that day got lost and a rescue party including some guy on a horse was up there , apparently the horse got blown over at one point .. yikes.
Saw Janes forecast for this weekend - Saturday arvo looks rough as guts with Strong to Gale force Northerlies predicted - yuck Read: Windhold
It's a wacky one. Another weakening front...to cut off this time. Another 5-10cm I reckon. Teeny bit of rain before maybe.
Looks like I might have fun driving from Buller to Falls tomorrow arvo. I'm staying at Howmans Gaps and am a bit worried about parking my car under all those beautiful Alpine ash trees. http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDV20032.html
I would say "watch this space"... ECL for the south east on Monday. ECL's always mess with the models mojo. Over the years, we have seen a good ECL leads into a solid conveyor event within 5 to 10 days later. It doesn't happen with every ECL but this season has been unpredictable over the mid to longer range and the ECL's have been few and far between. So personally, I'm liking the idea of a good ECL to shake up the mix.
And quite often you get a little wedge of high pressure deflecting fronts qway if the ecl stalls in the tasman. Heads or tails!
EC likes Monday for 10-15cm for NSW Resorts. VIC a dusting at best. And the EC setup... very juicy low developing, looks to intensify a fair bit in the Tasman. I am guessing the very warm anomalies in the Tasman might have something to do with it. But should give NSW a lot of rainfall and the resorts a nice topup.
Wind will quiet down early Sunday morning. Probably a bit of rain. I personally wouldn't want to go skiing on either day of this weekend.