Predictions Weak systems 23rd -29th July

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by Claude Cat, Jul 19, 2017.

Page 4 of 4
  1. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    17,594
    Likes Received:
    10,119
    Location:
    Bonbeach, Vic
    Cos its the prediction thread .... ;)
     
    #151 The Plowking, Jul 27, 2017
  2. Ramshead

    Ramshead One of Us

    Joined:
    Apr 5, 2006
    Messages:
    1,007
    Likes Received:
    1,483
    Location:
    Sydney
    Well to me it seems like getting excited about NYE and we haven't even had Christmas yet. Anyway I predict I will now go to the obs thread
     
    #152 Ramshead, Jul 27, 2017
    Wardy and The Plowking like this.
  3. Chondro

    Chondro One of Us

    Joined:
    Jul 8, 2013
    Messages:
    2,594
    Likes Received:
    1,393
    Location:
    Victoria
    Whats the predictions for weekend? Deciding to go bogong or out the back of falls
     
    #153 Chondro, Jul 28, 2017
  4. skimax

    skimax Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2000
    Messages:
    30,942
    Likes Received:
    4,298
    Location:
    Melbourne Australia
    windy as all get out IIRC
     
    #154 skimax, Jul 28, 2017
  5. slotmachine

    slotmachine Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Jun 27, 2007
    Messages:
    30
    Likes Received:
    3
    #155 slotmachine, Jul 28, 2017
  6. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2006
    Messages:
    71,089
    Likes Received:
    51,606
    Location:
    The barber's chair
    and mostly damp.

    not the sort of weekend I'd be considering a trip up Boges...
     
    #156 mick chopps, Jul 28, 2017
    Chondro and CarveMan like this.
  7. skimax

    skimax Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2000
    Messages:
    30,942
    Likes Received:
    4,298
    Location:
    Melbourne Australia
    yep wind and bogong dont mix.
    I was up there in summer years ago and a front came in and turned to snow and blizzard overnight..
    One of the guys i was leading off the summit in that had his cheapo waterproof overpants literaly blown off him. Someone else that day got lost and a rescue party including some guy on a horse was up there , apparently the horse got blown over at one point ..
    yikes.
     
    #157 skimax, Jul 28, 2017
    mick chopps, Claude Cat and alexd like this.
  8. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 12, 2000
    Messages:
    75,976
    Likes Received:
    40,453
    Location:
    Les Hautes Montagnes
    Off topic, but this. Super dangerous.

    Ski touring is a spring thing.
     
    #158 CarveMan, Jul 28, 2017
    Jellybeans and mick chopps like this.
  9. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2006
    Messages:
    71,089
    Likes Received:
    51,606
    Location:
    The barber's chair
    @Chondro
    This man speaks truth. Not the weekend for it.
     
    #159 mick chopps, Jul 28, 2017
  10. Chondro

    Chondro One of Us

    Joined:
    Jul 8, 2013
    Messages:
    2,594
    Likes Received:
    1,393
    Location:
    Victoria
    Yep no worries.
    Thanks guys, Ill just head out to rocky knolls and around the back of falls
     
    #160 Chondro, Jul 28, 2017
    CarveMan, Claude Cat and mick chopps like this.
  11. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2006
    Messages:
    71,089
    Likes Received:
    51,606
    Location:
    The barber's chair
    far safer option if you're desperate to go.
     
    #161 mick chopps, Jul 28, 2017
  12. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2001
    Messages:
    5,782
    Likes Received:
    3,063
    Location:
    Wollongong
    Saw Janes forecast for this weekend - Saturday arvo looks rough as guts with Strong to Gale force Northerlies predicted - yuck

    Read: Windhold
     
    #162 FourSquare04, Jul 28, 2017
  13. Adricat

    Adricat Addicted

    Joined:
    Aug 10, 2011
    Messages:
    959
    Likes Received:
    158
    Location:
    ACT
    Tell me to pull the trigger and hit da Bo for a sneaky Sunday with youngsters in tow?
     
    #163 Adricat, Jul 28, 2017
  14. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2017
    Messages:
    1,123
    Likes Received:
    1,777
    If there's snow, it's touring time
     
    #164 Rick Ross Da Boss, Jul 28, 2017
    Chondro likes this.
  15. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 7, 2004
    Messages:
    21,865
    Likes Received:
    14,353
    Location:
    Dubbo NSW
    Is this you @CarveMan ?
     
    #165 Snow Blowey, Jul 28, 2017
  16. Budgiesmuggler

    Budgiesmuggler A Local Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 7, 2010
    Messages:
    8,445
    Likes Received:
    5,483
    Is there a thread for Sunday onwards? Looks a system
    Coming
     
    #166 Budgiesmuggler, Jul 28, 2017
  17. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    17,594
    Likes Received:
    10,119
    Location:
    Bonbeach, Vic
    It's a wacky one.
    Another weakening front...to cut off this time.
    Another 5-10cm I reckon. Teeny bit of rain before maybe.
     
    #167 The Plowking, Jul 28, 2017
  18. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Jan 7, 2004
    Messages:
    21,865
    Likes Received:
    14,353
    Location:
    Dubbo NSW
    Certainly not as clear cut as last night. Wouldn't be confident to call it until after the event.
     
    #168 Snow Blowey, Jul 28, 2017
    Wardy likes this.
  19. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2017
    Messages:
    1,123
    Likes Received:
    1,777
    Nope
     
    #169 Rick Ross Da Boss, Jul 28, 2017
  20. almontyrat

    almontyrat One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2005
    Messages:
    937
    Likes Received:
    720
    Location:
    Wesley Vale, Tasmania
    #170 almontyrat, Jul 28, 2017
  21. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

    Joined:
    Jul 6, 2001
    Messages:
    113,316
    Likes Received:
    50,551
    Location:
    Canterbury, Vic
    Cant see much until perhaps the 5th IMO.
     
    #171 Claude Cat, Jul 28, 2017
    The Fallen likes this.
  22. The Fallen

    The Fallen One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    May 7, 2015
    Messages:
    740
    Likes Received:
    1,087
    Location:
    Central Coast
    I would say "watch this space"... ECL for the south east on Monday. ECL's always mess with the models mojo.

    Over the years, we have seen a good ECL leads into a solid conveyor event within 5 to 10 days later. It doesn't happen with every ECL but this season has been unpredictable over the mid to longer range and the ECL's have been few and far between.

    So personally, I'm liking the idea of a good ECL to shake up the mix.
     
    #172 The Fallen, Jul 28, 2017
    skidazza and Claude Cat like this.
  23. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2000
    Messages:
    17,594
    Likes Received:
    10,119
    Location:
    Bonbeach, Vic
    And quite often you get a little wedge of high pressure deflecting fronts qway if the ecl stalls in the tasman.
    Heads or tails!
     
    #173 The Plowking, Jul 28, 2017
  24. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2017
    Messages:
    1,123
    Likes Received:
    1,777
    Are we still thinking rain n wind on Sunday for Vic?
     
    #174 Rick Ross Da Boss, Jul 28, 2017
  25. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    8,569
    Likes Received:
    10,352
    Location:
    Box Hill, Vic.

    EC likes Monday for 10-15cm for NSW Resorts. VIC a dusting at best.


    And the EC setup... very juicy low developing, looks to intensify a fair bit in the Tasman. I am guessing the very warm anomalies in the Tasman might have something to do with it. But should give NSW a lot of rainfall and the resorts a nice topup.
     
    #175 Jellybeans, Jul 28, 2017
  26. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    8,569
    Likes Received:
    10,352
    Location:
    Box Hill, Vic.
    Wind will quiet down early Sunday morning. Probably a bit of rain. I personally wouldn't want to go skiing on either day of this weekend.
     
    #176 Jellybeans, Jul 28, 2017
    Ted Harper likes this.
  27. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2017
    Messages:
    1,123
    Likes Received:
    1,777
    Have skins, will ski. Rain, hail or shine
     
    #177 Rick Ross Da Boss, Jul 28, 2017
  28. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2017
    Messages:
    1,123
    Likes Received:
    1,777
    Thx for the pred
     
    #178 Rick Ross Da Boss, Jul 28, 2017
  29. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2010
    Messages:
    1,122
    Likes Received:
    503
    Location:
    The edge of the bell curve
    I'm agnostic on this one. These systems are notoriously touch and go
     
    #179 Wardy, Jul 29, 2017
  30. bolz

    bolz Hard Yards

    Joined:
    Apr 13, 2010
    Messages:
    16
    Likes Received:
    4
    GFS has a monster system moving in next weekend (5/6 August). New thread?
     
    #180 bolz, Jul 29, 2017
  31. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    8,569
    Likes Received:
    10,352
    Location:
    Box Hill, Vic.
    #181 Jellybeans, Jul 29, 2017
(You must log in or sign up to post here.)
Page 4 of 4