Predictions Weak systems 23rd -29th July

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Claude Cat, Jul 19, 2017.

  1. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
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    Cos its the prediction thread .... ;)
     
  2. Ramshead

    Ramshead Dedicated Member

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    Well to me it seems like getting excited about NYE and we haven't even had Christmas yet. Anyway I predict I will now go to the obs thread
     
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  3. Chondro

    Chondro Dedicated Member
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    Whats the predictions for weekend? Deciding to go bogong or out the back of falls
     
  4. skimax

    skimax Old And Crusty
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    windy as all get out IIRC
     
  5. slotmachine

    slotmachine Active Member

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  6. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
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    and mostly damp.

    not the sort of weekend I'd be considering a trip up Boges...
     
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  7. skimax

    skimax Old And Crusty
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    yep wind and bogong dont mix.
    I was up there in summer years ago and a front came in and turned to snow and blizzard overnight..
    One of the guys i was leading off the summit in that had his cheapo waterproof overpants literaly blown off him. Someone else that day got lost and a rescue party including some guy on a horse was up there , apparently the horse got blown over at one point ..
    yikes.
     
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  8. CarveMan

    CarveMan aussieskier.com
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    Off topic, but this. Super dangerous.

    Ski touring is a spring thing.
     
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  9. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
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    @Chondro
    This man speaks truth. Not the weekend for it.
     
  10. Chondro

    Chondro Dedicated Member
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    Yep no worries.
    Thanks guys, Ill just head out to rocky knolls and around the back of falls
     
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  11. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room
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    far safer option if you're desperate to go.
     
  12. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 Dedicated Member

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    Saw Janes forecast for this weekend - Saturday arvo looks rough as guts with Strong to Gale force Northerlies predicted - yuck

    Read: Windhold
     
  13. Adricat

    Adricat Active Member

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    Tell me to pull the trigger and hit da Bo for a sneaky Sunday with youngsters in tow?
     
  14. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss Active Member

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    If there's snow, it's touring time
     
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  15. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Part of the Furniture
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    Is this you @CarveMan ?
     
  16. Budgiesmuggler

    Budgiesmuggler Addicted Member
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    Is there a thread for Sunday onwards? Looks a system
    Coming
     
  17. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
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    It's a wacky one.
    Another weakening front...to cut off this time.
    Another 5-10cm I reckon. Teeny bit of rain before maybe.
     
  18. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Part of the Furniture
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    Certainly not as clear cut as last night. Wouldn't be confident to call it until after the event.
     
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  19. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss Active Member

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    Nope
     
  20. almontyrat

    almontyrat Well-Known Member
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  21. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat Gone Fishing
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    Cant see much until perhaps the 5th IMO.
     
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  22. The Fallen

    The Fallen Well-Known Member

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    I would say "watch this space"... ECL for the south east on Monday. ECL's always mess with the models mojo.

    Over the years, we have seen a good ECL leads into a solid conveyor event within 5 to 10 days later. It doesn't happen with every ECL but this season has been unpredictable over the mid to longer range and the ECL's have been few and far between.

    So personally, I'm liking the idea of a good ECL to shake up the mix.
     
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  23. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture
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    And quite often you get a little wedge of high pressure deflecting fronts qway if the ecl stalls in the tasman.
    Heads or tails!
     
  24. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss Active Member

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    Are we still thinking rain n wind on Sunday for Vic?
     
  25. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member
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    EC likes Monday for 10-15cm for NSW Resorts. VIC a dusting at best.


    And the EC setup... very juicy low developing, looks to intensify a fair bit in the Tasman. I am guessing the very warm anomalies in the Tasman might have something to do with it. But should give NSW a lot of rainfall and the resorts a nice topup.
     
  26. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member
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    Wind will quiet down early Sunday morning. Probably a bit of rain. I personally wouldn't want to go skiing on either day of this weekend.
     
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  27. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss Active Member

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    Have skins, will ski. Rain, hail or shine
     
  28. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss Active Member

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  29. Wardy

    Wardy Well-Known Member

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    I'm agnostic on this one. These systems are notoriously touch and go
     
  30. bolz

    bolz Active Member

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    GFS has a monster system moving in next weekend (5/6 August). New thread?
     
  31. Jellybeans1000

    Jellybeans1000 Dedicated Member
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