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Predictions Weak systems 23rd -29th July

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by Claude Cat, Jul 19, 2017.

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  1. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Cos its the prediction thread .... ;)
     
    #151 The Plowking, Jul 27, 2017
  2. Ramshead

    Ramshead One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Well to me it seems like getting excited about NYE and we haven't even had Christmas yet. Anyway I predict I will now go to the obs thread
     
    #152 Ramshead, Jul 27, 2017
    Wardy and The Plowking like this.
  3. Chondro

    Chondro One of Us

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    Whats the predictions for weekend? Deciding to go bogong or out the back of falls
     
    #153 Chondro, Jul 28, 2017
  4. skimax

    skimax Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    windy as all get out IIRC
     
    #154 skimax, Jul 28, 2017
  5. slotmachine

    slotmachine Hard Yards

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    #155 slotmachine, Jul 28, 2017
  6. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    and mostly damp.

    not the sort of weekend I'd be considering a trip up Boges...
     
    #156 mick chopps, Jul 28, 2017
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  7. skimax

    skimax Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    yep wind and bogong dont mix.
    I was up there in summer years ago and a front came in and turned to snow and blizzard overnight..
    One of the guys i was leading off the summit in that had his cheapo waterproof overpants literaly blown off him. Someone else that day got lost and a rescue party including some guy on a horse was up there , apparently the horse got blown over at one point ..
    yikes.
     
    #157 skimax, Jul 28, 2017
    mick chopps, Claude Cat and alexd like this.
  8. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Off topic, but this. Super dangerous.

    Ski touring is a spring thing.
     
    #158 CarveMan, Jul 28, 2017
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  9. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    @Chondro
    This man speaks truth. Not the weekend for it.
     
    #159 mick chopps, Jul 28, 2017
  10. Chondro

    Chondro One of Us

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    Yep no worries.
    Thanks guys, Ill just head out to rocky knolls and around the back of falls
     
    #160 Chondro, Jul 28, 2017
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  11. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    far safer option if you're desperate to go.
     
    #161 mick chopps, Jul 28, 2017
  12. FourSquare04

    FourSquare04 A Local

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    Saw Janes forecast for this weekend - Saturday arvo looks rough as guts with Strong to Gale force Northerlies predicted - yuck

    Read: Windhold
     
    #162 FourSquare04, Jul 28, 2017
  13. Adricat

    Adricat One of Us

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    Tell me to pull the trigger and hit da Bo for a sneaky Sunday with youngsters in tow?
     
    #163 Adricat, Jul 28, 2017
  14. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    If there's snow, it's touring time
     
    #164 Rick Ross Da Boss, Jul 28, 2017
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  15. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Is this you @CarveMan ?
     
    #165 Snow Blowey, Jul 28, 2017
  16. Budgiesmuggler

    Budgiesmuggler A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Is there a thread for Sunday onwards? Looks a system
    Coming
     
    #166 Budgiesmuggler, Jul 28, 2017
  17. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    It's a wacky one.
    Another weakening front...to cut off this time.
    Another 5-10cm I reckon. Teeny bit of rain before maybe.
     
    #167 The Plowking, Jul 28, 2017
  18. Snow Blowey

    Snow Blowey Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Certainly not as clear cut as last night. Wouldn't be confident to call it until after the event.
     
    #168 Snow Blowey, Jul 28, 2017
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  19. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Nope
     
    #169 Rick Ross Da Boss, Jul 28, 2017
  20. almontyrat

    almontyrat One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    #170 almontyrat, Jul 28, 2017
  21. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Cant see much until perhaps the 5th IMO.
     
    #171 Claude Cat, Jul 28, 2017
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  22. The Fallen

    The Fallen One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    I would say "watch this space"... ECL for the south east on Monday. ECL's always mess with the models mojo.

    Over the years, we have seen a good ECL leads into a solid conveyor event within 5 to 10 days later. It doesn't happen with every ECL but this season has been unpredictable over the mid to longer range and the ECL's have been few and far between.

    So personally, I'm liking the idea of a good ECL to shake up the mix.
     
    #172 The Fallen, Jul 28, 2017
    skidazza and Claude Cat like this.
  23. The Plowking

    The Plowking Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    And quite often you get a little wedge of high pressure deflecting fronts qway if the ecl stalls in the tasman.
    Heads or tails!
     
    #173 The Plowking, Jul 28, 2017
  24. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Are we still thinking rain n wind on Sunday for Vic?
     
    #174 Rick Ross Da Boss, Jul 28, 2017
  25. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC likes Monday for 10-15cm for NSW Resorts. VIC a dusting at best.


    And the EC setup... very juicy low developing, looks to intensify a fair bit in the Tasman. I am guessing the very warm anomalies in the Tasman might have something to do with it. But should give NSW a lot of rainfall and the resorts a nice topup.
     
    #175 Jellybeans, Jul 28, 2017
  26. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    Wind will quiet down early Sunday morning. Probably a bit of rain. I personally wouldn't want to go skiing on either day of this weekend.
     
    #176 Jellybeans, Jul 28, 2017
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  27. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Have skins, will ski. Rain, hail or shine
     
    #177 Rick Ross Da Boss, Jul 28, 2017
  28. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Thx for the pred
     
    #178 Rick Ross Da Boss, Jul 28, 2017
  29. Wardy

    Wardy One of Us

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    I'm agnostic on this one. These systems are notoriously touch and go
     
    #179 Wardy, Jul 29, 2017
  30. bolz

    bolz Hard Yards

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    GFS has a monster system moving in next weekend (5/6 August). New thread?
     
    #180 bolz, Jul 29, 2017
  31. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    #181 Jellybeans, Jul 29, 2017
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