Some flooding predicted for the Moruya as wellhttp://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/warnings/flood/shoalhavenriver.shtml
And the Deua River is meant to peak at 8m (!) today, bringing it to major flood levels.
If you were to believe the TH radar you would think it is raining heavily here being under a yellow/orange radar pattern, yet I would think that it is just a moderate rate at best.
Line of showers moving through in about an hour by the look of the radar. That's got sleet to 1000m written all over it IMO.+3.3C at Armidale and precip accumulating RN.
#112 POW_hungry, 31 minutes ago
Some sleety hail around midday on east side out of town but mostly scuddy showers and sunny breaks today. Snow further up the hill may have been possible earlier today. Nice day for restocking firewood. 12mm for this event so far.
Mount Vic wintery mix according to obs here:Terry Hills Doppler Wind image just now. Someting’s approaching Botany Bay:
EDIT: Mount Boyce on 1° with precipitation. That to me suggests Blue Mountains snow, a decent amount of it with about 5 mm in the last couple of hours.
Yes - we have tended to move away from describing as a ‘One in whatever’ to a percentage as it’s really that there’s an ‘x%’ chance of a given event happening in any given year. I think the values in the Aust Rainfall and Runoff have recently been updated.so ... in punter-speak
is that 1 in 20 year event.
and 5% likelyhood ?