Winter's Snowed-In BBQ Forum

Discussion in 'Alpine & Snow' started by POW_hungry, May 31, 2017.

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  1. AussieWhite

    AussieWhite Hard Yards

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    I won’t hold you to it. Taking kids down for one last slide. Fingers crossed. Cheers
     
  2. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looks like most likely to slide south.
    Unless we get some sudden spike of a -AAO during that time.
     
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  3. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Was more looking at Sunday/Monday.
     
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  4. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    Based off this I assume.


    It would depend on the AAO, which may improve the deeper we get into the month.
     
  5. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Short wave is there, it's ahead of the LW.
    As I say, glimmer of hope yet.

    FWIW ensemble mean AAO has strengthening buy-in on neg AAO first week of Oct - expect upgrades in the LR, IMO.
     
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  6. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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  7. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Backdoor betty on axsr
     
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  8. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Statisically we are due for another reasonable cold precip sometime in next 10-14 days.

    Though that rain event might have used up this months quota for precip.
     
  9. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    Maybe. Again we are going to need to see a -AAO though.
     
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  10. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Todays ERA interim 46 dayer is not showing any love for the next fortnight +. Temp Anomalies are neg for the rest of Sept indicating a reasonable freeze/ Thaw cycle for the corn season.
     
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  11. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    A subtle last sigh.
    Needs SAM to help it out of the death bed.
     
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  12. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Buller pow day Saturday.
     
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  13. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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    The last hurrah. Looks quite warm into the first week of October.

    I must say, much of Winter 2019 has exceeded earlier expectations. We were fortunate with some decent -ve AAO events to keep things ticking along, especially from mid-July.
     
  14. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    @CarveMan
     
  15. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    I'll be at the footy :tany:

    Last 2 years I timed my movements to perfection, this year not so much. Then I spent last week up there with gastro and a ****ed back and watched a metre of snow evaporate from the couch.
     
  16. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    A blankie might be in order
     
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  17. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Remember ten years ago we had a epic dust storm in NSW?
    Then the AFL Gf was on that weekend
    It was a legit Pow weekend
     
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  18. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yep the 09 GF was wet and cold and I got a constant stream of texts about the pow.

    I had already pulled up stumps that year, I got a new car and replaced the windscreen in my old one to get a RWC, it had the Buller permit on it so going up would have been a PITA. So instead I watched the Aints hearts break with a Scarlett toe poke to Ablett to a Chapman snap to seal it. We got there pretty late so it was standing room only and pretty chilly. #coolstorycarveman
     
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  19. Hermon

    Hermon One of Us

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    Yep. Sept 2009. Famous for the "Red Dawn" dust-storm which hit Sydney on the 23rd. And Geelong won the GF against the Saints.

    One of the interesting outcomes was that the dust created a Phytoplankton bloom in the Tasman Sea.
     
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  20. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Season closer 4-6th, still a chance on determs
     
  21. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC's trying, but not exactly cold...


    GFS this arvo is probably a product of this:

    Would be great if we finally get that SSW anomaly down to the troposphere.
     
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  22. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    -AAO/SAM is happening. All members now in agreement.
     
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  23. teleroo

    teleroo still looking for Thredbo in the Park Ski Pass: Gold

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    Getting smashed by snow in North Island NZ. Please send sunshine from across the ditch.
     
  24. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    If we get something in the first week of October, your NZ conveyor belt is disrupted and you are back to spring sunshine.
     
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  25. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC is seemingly a few runs behind GFS at the moment.
    GFS via yesterday’s run:
     
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  26. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    You still reckon this is on? Literally nothing on EC/YR.NO.
     
  27. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Neerrrr. It’s a clipper. Dusting at best IMO.
     
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  28. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    yep. real close to nothing at all to see here.
     
  29. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    BOM climate bulletin ‘ain’t mincing it’s words with temps over the next quarter...
     
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  30. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    EPS Control liking the 10th now.
     
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  31. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    didn't you get the sermon from the shire - it's all gossip. nothing to worry about that $100m more for the farmers won't bandaid over for aother few months.
     
  32. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    gfs liking next weekend....
     
  33. AussieWhite

    AussieWhite Hard Yards

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    With the AAO heading towards negative, could this become something?
     
  34. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    that's good - 'cause it sure is looking like pond skim heaven at present on norway
     
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  35. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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  36. AussieWhite

    AussieWhite Hard Yards

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  37. Jacko4650

    Jacko4650 One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Snowed again at Mt Mawson (yesterday) and falling at Bawbs:-
     
  38. MarkV

    MarkV One of Us

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    I hope not. Around the bay bike ride is on Oct 6!
     
  39. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    We've clocked up nearly a month since our last >15cm snowfall.
    The last hurrah (4-6th Oct) is dead in the water, so to speak.
    There goes 2019 season - a little lack lustre in it's ending; weather-wise, considering the July/August we had. Nonetheless, it's been an incredible season with a notable amount of 'good weather' between systems.

    Cheers for the good times & active participation over the winter season, all.
     
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  40. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Resorts did ok this year. Basicaly a trio of stoic systems that delivered the business nicely and a few bits and bobs kept the fizzer factor down.
     
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  41. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    EC upgrade on Monday night, Tuesday system.
    Landing just outside of season 2019.
    Clipper, with perhaps 5cm in it IMO.[​IMG]
     
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  42. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans not woke enough Ski Pass: Gold

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    Pretty incredible start in May.

    I think it was @Kletterer who said the year of anomalies, which I think was pretty accurate.
     
  43. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    Can't thank you and all the other weather gurus enough for your predictions and guidance this season. Been outstanding.
     
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  44. zapruda

    zapruda One of Us

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    Agreed!

    I visit the weather threads every week to help me plan bushwalking and skiing trips. I find it immensely useful and I’ve learnt a lot.

    I appreciate everyone’s dedication and hard work!

    Thanks.
     
  45. AussieWhite

    AussieWhite Hard Yards

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    Such a great forum with plenty of dedicated gurus. Thank you guys, it’s the first thing I look at every time I pick up my iPad.
    Can’t believe the season is coming to an end.
    Cheers
     
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  46. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    Almost time to say adieu to this thread for the year.
     
  47. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Sad but true Claude.
     
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  48. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    I'm looking forward to @Gototakahashi 's first prediction for 2020 ;)
     
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  49. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Dedication takes many forms .
     
  50. Ozgirl

    Ozgirl Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    So google is telling me it will snow in jindy tomorrow. Wishful thinking or is Jack sending me a goodluck message?
     
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