Winter's Snowed-In BBQ Forum

NightSky

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Jul 6, 2015
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Omega Centauri
Any further opinions on action around the 12th?

See thread

 
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Kletterer

Thredbo Doughnut Tragic
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Nov 26, 2014
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EC ensembles ( Charlottes ) getting frisky with 16th- 18th on the 00Z run.
1657013990497.png
 

Ramshead

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Sorta weather, sorta snow conditions, will throw it in here and see if it survives moderation.

Question is: when does the great popsicle become nice to ski again? Seems like since the easterly-influenced mizzle froze and set the whole mountains rock hard a day or two back, and we now have several days ahead when the off-piste snowpack will remain frozen. Colder temps heading in later this week with only very light, if any, fresh snow seem unlikely to mitigate this situation. Norwesters on Monday ahead of the fresh due Tuesday may only blow the last remnants of softish sugar into the trees. Looking thru the weather lens, do we see a popsicle continuation until Tuesday?
 

SMSkier

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Sorta weather, sorta snow conditions, will throw it in here and see if it survives moderation.

Question is: when does the great popsicle become nice to ski again? Seems like since the easterly-influenced mizzle froze and set the whole mountains rock hard a day or two back, and we now have several days ahead when the off-piste snowpack will remain frozen. Colder temps heading in later this week with only very light, if any, fresh snow seem unlikely to mitigate this situation. Norwesters on Monday ahead of the fresh due Tuesday may only blow the last remnants of softish sugar into the trees. Looking thru the weather lens, do we see a popsicle continuation until Tuesday?

I reckon its the right thread.

It’s going to be ice for most spots with any elevation untill the next decent snowfall. Here’s a look at Olympic this morning.

07DC3507-FDAC-448E-B610-79B16092AB5E.jpeg
55085992-D549-4144-AF80-91C1EED4CF7F.jpeg


Looks ok but….. Its solid sheet ice. May melt for some aspects but that will refreeze late afternoon and overnight.

The ice fields on some aspects are extensive. 10cms of fresh snow would help but double that is needed. A lot of groomed runs in places around Eyre T Bar at PV (for example) last about 20 mins before turning to “gravel”. Its really groomed ice at the moment. (Expand the pic to show it up).

A7BFBE09-3605-4166-9EBB-AAB4C6E2A839.jpeg


In and around trees its the same story. Ice is detaching in large masses, and for the most part, unmelted. In areas where there are trees under which you’d normally ski - its a no go zone.

5F843436-C272-4981-BF92-29F33A198B41.jpeg


Next decent snowfall can’t come quick enough. IMO…..
 

Marquise de Kappy

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Aug 24, 2010
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I reckon its the right thread.

It’s going to be ice for most spots with any elevation untill the next decent snowfall. Here’s a look at Olympic this morning.

07DC3507-FDAC-448E-B610-79B16092AB5E.jpeg
55085992-D549-4144-AF80-91C1EED4CF7F.jpeg


Looks ok but….. Its solid sheet ice. May melt for some aspects but that will refreeze late afternoon and overnight.

The ice fields on some aspects are extensive. 10cms of fresh snow would help but double that is needed. A lot of groomed runs in places around Eyre T Bar at PV (for example) last about 20 mins before turning to “gravel”. Its really groomed ice at the moment. (Expand the pic to show it up).

A7BFBE09-3605-4166-9EBB-AAB4C6E2A839.jpeg


In and around trees its the same story. Ice is detaching in large masses, and for the most part, unmelted. In areas where there are trees under which you’d normally ski - its a no go zone.

5F843436-C272-4981-BF92-29F33A198B41.jpeg


Next decent snowfall can’t come quick enough. IMO…..
Sheet ice. My worst nightmare! Absolute confidence zapper for this old body. It has got 16 days to sort itself out and provide some decent freshies.
 

Ramshead

One of Us
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Apr 5, 2006
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I reckon its the right thread.

It’s going to be ice for most spots with any elevation untill the next decent snowfall. Here’s a look at Olympic this morning.

07DC3507-FDAC-448E-B610-79B16092AB5E.jpeg
55085992-D549-4144-AF80-91C1EED4CF7F.jpeg


Looks ok but….. Its solid sheet ice. May melt for some aspects but that will refreeze late afternoon and overnight.

The ice fields on some aspects are extensive. 10cms of fresh snow would help but double that is needed. A lot of groomed runs in places around Eyre T Bar at PV (for example) last about 20 mins before turning to “gravel”. Its really groomed ice at the moment. (Expand the pic to show it up).

A7BFBE09-3605-4166-9EBB-AAB4C6E2A839.jpeg


In and around trees its the same story. Ice is detaching in large masses, and for the most part, unmelted. In areas where there are trees under which you’d normally ski - its a no go zone.

5F843436-C272-4981-BF92-29F33A198B41.jpeg


Next decent snowfall can’t come quick enough. IMO…..
Outstanding response, for which I thank you. Can I BTW use these pics in a Weatherzone story I write tomorrow?
 
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Star_Hawk

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POW Hungry

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Just jumping in here without catching up.

Gav Morris, the 9 Newcastle weather man, just mentioned in passing that "a lot of snow" is due around the end of July.

I'd like to see that, I'm booked from 31/7 to 9/9.
If it's not on EC Ensembles/Weeklies, I've got NFI what old mate is looking at, but mid July is still the gas ATM, IMO.

The current 8-12th window is the next hit, what I would call a residue LWT pattern. But then 16-18th July is looking the goods IMO.

Beyond that... It's a mainstream media joke.
 

AiguilleRouge

Hard Yards
Jul 6, 2008
6
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NSW
Maybe the late July is coming from this old chestnut. I am far from an expert but don't mind a bit of a look at some longer-term maps... I always gain confidence in seeing lots of winter activity sitting between South America and Africa in the Southern Hemisphere. It usually suggests there's a few possibilities of catching more than a Aussie bite clipper 3-4 weeks later. i.e Late July early August bring in the good stuff.


1657191639598.png
 

Mister Tee on XC Skis

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Just jumping in here without catching up.

Gav Morris, the 9 Newcastle weather man, just mentioned in passing that "a lot of snow" is due around the end of July.

I'd like to see that, I'm booked from 31/7 to 9/9.
I have a 7 nights booked at the Bogong Rover Chalet on The Bogong High Plains from August 5th. Show me the big snow fall !
 
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Telezacski

A Local
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Mar 19, 2010
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16th to 18th still looking the best outlook as far as EC Ensembles are concerned albeit a slightly wider spread than yesterday.
1657274262145.png

Just remember it’s a bottle of red for every 5cm as a bonus for being on the ground during a snow storm
 

Marty McSly

Not a monster
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Jul 12, 2011
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Beyond that... It's a mainstream media joke.
Nah. Gav's seriously a weather nerd. 9 Newcastle (aka NBN) don't have clowns or bimboes doing the weather like the capital city outfits. They take their farming/surfing audience very seriously, with an occasional nod to skiers and boarders when something's in the wind.

Mind you, I'd like to know what he's looking at too.
 
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snowgum

A Local
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May 4, 1999
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A very ( Chains Required ) bullish run on EC.
xx_model-en-304-0_modez_2022070912_210_41597_644.png
Looks to be fairly favourable to Victoria which is nice.

Potentially a good top-up from Buller to Davies Plain (just across border from Kosi) - so lower/mid elevations might get a few cms.
 
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