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Mega Thread Winter's Snowed-In BBQ Forum

Discussion in 'Weather' started by POW_hungry, May 31, 2017.

  1. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    How many brollies do you have @Donzah ?
     
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  2. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Nothing is reliable as a white Christmas unless you’re in the Arctic circle IMO. I would just make sure you’re somewhere up-High with good infrastructure.
    Rockies would be my pick. Banff, Telluride, Vail.
    Conversely for Europe: Chamonix, Zermatt, Val d’Isere, Tignes.
     
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  3. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Shopping in Nowra ?
     
  4. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah saw that.
    Might take off to Jindy end of the week
     
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  5. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    First Patrol for the season nearby on monday......
     
  6. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    One more for the Gipper?
     
  7. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Interesting to see GFS progging a near cyclone-category cell to the East of PNG this week:
    Sea temps are marginal for cyclone development so you can expect it'll fizz quickly.
    [​IMG]
     
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  8. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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  9. IAB

    IAB A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Amazing pic! Assuming it's real of course.
     
  10. Trail Blazer

    Trail Blazer Part of the Furniture

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    Can't be recent though can it?
     
  11. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Am I missing something re forecast for Wollongong tomorrow?

    Forecast .


    AXSR

     
  12. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    One last throw of the dice?

    [​IMG]
     
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  13. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS was keen but has stepped away with a clipper in the last few runs.
    The Canuck is into it.

    50/50 chance, but I reckon she’ll get ridged IMO.
     
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  14. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    been watching these dates for my own bc mission.
    looked like cut-off for a few days there.
    steady as she goes.
     
  15. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Last MS, in December, I believe.
     
  16. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    MS ?
    meso something .....
    metres / sec....
    micro macro multi....
     
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  17. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Monsoon Season
     
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  18. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    ahh of course , simple. :rolleyes:
     
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  19. CarveMan

    CarveMan Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    YR has something. Would prefer it didn’t tbh.
     
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  20. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    @nfip
    could be quite stormy in your locale tomorrow morning (even overnight tonight)
    hopefully the boys have the tarps tied
     
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  21. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Would you like sauce with that.
     
  22. Zimbooo

    Zimbooo One of Us

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    I'm sure @nfip is a equal sex / gender employer..........maybe he and the gurls have the tarps tied?
    Jokes, jokes. lets not be protective.
     
  23. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Aah well spotted small trough / developing low pressure




    [​IMG]
     
  24. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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  25. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Lacks CAPE for any sort of adverse WX (other than flooding) but it's fed well by the moist, warm onshore flow.
    It's gonna puke rain.
     
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  26. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    yeah had a look at the cape when D posted.
    anoms are a bit of both.
    more favourable up North where they look to be going to get a bit more action.
    [​IMG]
     
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  27. Seafm

    Seafm Too far from the snow Ski Pass: Gold

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    Can't see it.
     
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  28. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    soz.
    not sure why but can't just copy paste from wz.
    used to be able to...
     
  29. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    From BoM's Enso Wrap:
     
  30. Claude Cat

    Claude Cat On my bike Moderator Ski Pass: Platinum

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    As we come close to closing the winter BBQ thread ….

     
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  31. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    Worth noting that the MJO isn't in our region at the moment, but is peaking at Phases 8/1.
     
  32. rocketboy

    rocketboy One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    so maybe Nov before MJO gets round to us again?
     
  33. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yep, that could be a possibility.
     
  34. Donzah

    Donzah Old n' Crusty Ski Pass: Gold

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    Child arrives back from camp tomorrow arvo
    what ever time that is...will be exactly when a gusty stormy change arrives
     
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  35. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Back in the negs:
    [​IMG]

    Latest modelling suggests it's a fad.
    [​IMG]
     
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  36. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    WZ excerpt:
     
  37. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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    Latest GFS LW plot says 'thank you very much and goodnight'.
    [​IMG]
    That said there does look to be a sneaky little pulse around the 15-20th October.
     
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  38. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    6z and 18z plots on EC are coming!

    Out to 6 days (144 hrs).

     
  39. nfip

    nfip Part of the Furniture Ski Pass: Gold

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  40. Gototakahashi

    Gototakahashi Hard Yards

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    Grasshoppers outlook still predicts a below average season.

    However, The Frog from snow watch is predicting slightly above average!
     
  41. skiflat

    skiflat Old n' Crusty

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    The Frog you say......
     
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  42. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a dream Ski Pass: Gold

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    Weren't you the one who said you did the buller chutes in foggy, icey and very dangerous conditions?

    The Frog's only research for his forecast was the BOM enso pages and the EC Monthly control run. Hardly suffcient to ensure maximum thoroughness.
     
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  43. mick chopps

    mick chopps Pool Room Ski Pass: Gold

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    but gets the clicks.
     
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  44. cold wombat

    cold wombat Twitter Contributer Social Media Mod Ski Pass: Gold

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    Apparently that's the only metric that matters any more. Reality be damned.
     
  45. Xwing

    Xwing One of Us

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    The annual load of wallop. Just don't tune into them - they are purveyors of doom and / or angst.
     
  46. SnowBound

    SnowBound One of Us

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    They are "The Daily Mail" kind of forecasts. Click bait city.

    We got everything we need to know right here on the forums ;)
     
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  47. iagreewithhim

    iagreewithhim One of Us Ski Pass: Silver

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    Can I just say what a refreshing change it is to see a thread about snow (if only peripherally) on this forum at last?