Winter's Snowed-In BBQ Forum

Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by POW_hungry, May 31, 2017.

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  1. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Yeah, if it’s still there 00Z up goes a thread.
     
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  2. Scoober

    Scoober One of Us

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    Still a lot of movement from run to run, there will be fronts a plenty, putting a time frame on each is pretty hard atm!!
     
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  3. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Ensembles will guide us.
    Deterministics are coughing up nothing but moving targets.
     
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  4. Ubiquitous Steve

    Ubiquitous Steve A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Should we get the train wreck pictures ready in case we need to post them?
     
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  5. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    EPS mean shows some sort of event 24-26th July, but nothing great.

    GEFS shows the 23-25th as something, but mostly a clipper for the Alps inbound from WA.

    Plenty of time for it to fluctuate though.
     
  6. bywong_yuki

    bywong_yuki One of Us

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    Because we should always give the underdog a participation certificate.
     
  7. crikey

    crikey Addicted Ski Pass: Gold

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    ALL models are under dogs at 240hrs :p
     
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  8. bywong_yuki

    bywong_yuki One of Us

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    Yeah true that. :thumbs:
     
  9. Alfred14

    Alfred14 Addicted Ski Pass: Silver

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    It's very easy to be negative.
     
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  10. Jellybeans

    Jellybeans Walking on a cloud Ski Pass: Gold

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    I think you should let people there observe it and not judge it based on the opening of a road.
     
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  11. Ubiquitous Steve

    Ubiquitous Steve A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Hokkaido.....one metre events !Omg......that would close all our resorts for days.
    B034233C-F4C1-43EA-9FB0-F782A1815A98.png

    Yes one cannot argue that snow depths have increased.....but we were down to soil in many places from memory?Team Bears are visualising an Hokkaido events....

    Beat the drums sing along the vibe is all important ...Folk say there is much snow so it must be so.....beat the drums and sing along!
     
  12. Ret-ro

    Ret-ro One of Us

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    Why? what did you think was forecast POW was spot on?

    seems to me someone is rather put out cause he cant be there??
     
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  13. Ubiquitous Steve

    Ubiquitous Steve A Local Ski Pass: Gold

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    Snow depth accepted as three fizzers end to end assuming one fizzer is 10cm long ..
    3x10=.30cms. In optimal sites .....well that’s amazing accumulation over almost 24hours...:whistle:
    We need a giant fizzer of two metre length perhaos to record this amazing snow dump still in progress !
     
  14. robbo mcs

    robbo mcs One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Vibe? You are the vibe killer:eek::(

    You talk about hokkaido. I can guarantee that the quality of the snow and skiing right now in any of the main NSW / Vic resorts is a whole lot better than it currently is in hokkaido:oops:;)
     
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  15. Seafm

    Seafm Too far from the snow Ski Pass: Gold

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    Settle down Steve. The "mega dump" is only a prediction. What actually happens can be quite different. It it pans out exactly as predicted that's a bonus. Come up here to cyclone country, in many cases you actually want the predictions to be wrong.
     
  16. euexp

    euexp Hard Yards

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    Really don't get Aussies comparing southern hemisphere with the north . I'n from Northern Italy , I don't , I won't . Irrational , illogical , nonsensical . 30 cm for us it's a dusting , with 50cm we don't bother going skiing ( too little) . We call a dump 1m and above. You ( we) should be happy we even have some snow in Australia, and don't get me started with snow forecasts , weather is complicated ,there is no guarantee it's going to happen what was forecast .
    See ya
     
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  17. Jarryboy

    Jarryboy Hard Yards

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    Another armchair skier
     
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  18. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us

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    Well the vibe is in the usual establishments right after a day of freshies :cheers:
     
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  19. Ret-ro

    Ret-ro One of Us

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    Seems so.. me I just ski
     
  20. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Some impressively high cloud out to the South East atm.
     
  21. Zimbooo

    Zimbooo One of Us

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    Yeah Klet,
    Do you have any numbers for snowfall amounts tonight for hills around Wanaka/Queenstown?
    There's a few serious blobs that could produce 30-50mm precip in 3 hours from what I see around Wanaka?
     
  22. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Will have a look after a big roast dinner and some Wolfblass.
     
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  23. Zimbooo

    Zimbooo One of Us

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    We have the French exchange teachers (2) staying here with us for the next couple of weeks, whilst the 20 or so French kids are with school families. Just finished a roast ourselves here and onto 2nd bottle of Vasse Felix Cab. Perfect time for roasts!!
     
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  24. Ret-ro

    Ret-ro One of Us

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    I vote that this was the most useful , incisive excellent post of the Day. It provided sincere useful information in a time of ubiquitous crisis. The 82 plus 10 cm , 92cm fall has some in a spin. Well done POW... I knew the button was there somewhere.
     
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  25. Kletterer

    Kletterer Thredbo Doughnut Tragic Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Young Tenants out the back have their family here from Nepal atm. Lovely humble folks. Seems strange to us that they are not into big peaks .
     
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  26. Zimbooo

    Zimbooo One of Us

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    Bit like the Balinese who never used to surf back in the 70s/80s. Dem spirits.
     
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  27. Zimbooo

    Zimbooo One of Us

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    Without any fact, I reckon the Saddle (TC) could get two feet tonight.....is high enough.
    Although, just looked at this on Metservice.
    Looks like may be slightly further south and penetrate..........Remarks?

     
  28. samtheman

    samtheman Hard Yards

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    I observed a lot of smiles at Hotham today :D
    Great timing with the SIA demo day!! Why had I not been made aware of this before?
     
  29. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    GFS siding with a return to near neutral -AAO over the coming week.
    [​IMG]
     
  30. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us

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    Is this bad boy still looking good and running on time?
     
  31. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    22-26 July system has a thread up and running.
     
  32. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us

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    Oh, thought that one was 1-4 August
     
  33. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    The mention of the 1-4AUG is under South Africa in that prog. Miles away.
    But here it is at 7 o'clock, still ~12 days out (from the 19th Jul). 2-6August is now my guess.
    [​IMG]
     
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  34. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us

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    Copy that, cheers.
     
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  35. crikey

    crikey Addicted Ski Pass: Gold

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  36. gfs-shemi-mslp_norm_anom-3678000.png Decent anom with a ridge under it.

    eye candy.
    2019-07-14 23_16_58-gfs-shemi-mslp_norm_anom-3721200 - Windows Photo Viewer.png
     
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  37. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us

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    Why is your text so small..?:nerd:
     
  38. "Should have gone to Specsavers"
     
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  39. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us

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    There’s always one that has to be different :rolleyes:;)
     
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  40. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looking like the AAO is due to rebound to neutrality with a little more certainty (the below will update).
    Positively, it looks to stay low-slung, below 0, for a prolonged period (possibly).
    [​IMG]
     
  41. Rick Ross Da Boss

    Rick Ross Da Boss One of Us

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    Gfs cutting shapes
     
  42. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looks like a glorious morning up in the hills:

     
  43. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Terrible quality but Hotham is looking nice:

     
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  44. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Not much in the way of NW'ly moisture influence any time soon (until we get a hint of MJO on the next pass, if we're lucky).
     
  45. Ret-ro

    Ret-ro One of Us

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    Well was it a fizzer...
     
  46. xuěboarder

    xuěboarder One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    Thoughts on winds at hot ham this weekend? Taking a group of 40 or so beginners up and winds seemed to have jumped to wind hold speeds over night according to BOM.
     
  47. Xwing

    Xwing One of Us

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    Partial lunar eclipse this morning just before sunrise - about 6.45.

     
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  48. squanchy

    squanchy Hard Yards

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    What’s the vibe for second half next week? Interesting looking period
     
  49. DiscoStuAU

    DiscoStuAU One of Us Ski Pass: Gold

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    There's a thread here that talks to next week...
     
  50. POW_hungry

    POW_hungry Part of the Furniture Moderator Ski Pass: Gold

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    Looking into my crystal ball the ensembles (EC/GFS) keep signalling a cut-off low in Southern Aust over the next 2 weeks. I think we'll see a sizey one if the flippant sub polar jets can be believed.
    It could be WA, it could be SE Aus, but just a general obs of the 500mb LR ensembles really.
     
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