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Discussion in 'Alpine & Southern' started by POW_hungry, May 31, 2017.
Crookwell Saturday AM is a decent chance IMO.
Thanks my friend!
There are closer spots around Southern Highlands (Berrima, Oxley Hill etc.) with half a chance but they're semi tucked in the rain shadow of ST's. So drier.
Better chance in the STs I'd reckon.
Though they will shut the roads (even Hume) if it gets a bit heavy.
The road working North from Crookwell normally sees some snow.
Is this the July 'Beast' arriving a week and more late? This image from the Melbourne and Vic weather thread with the bullish looking beast highlighted using Photoshop. I see an eye there...
So, important (for me) question: Am I going to need chains to get out of Thredbo on Sunday afternoon?
Possibly. FL is V low and precip is V likely.
The Cancer has gone.................ie big snow fall.
Ron Peno doing better as well.
Ensembles indicating a second dip is a real possibility, next week.
Likely to be a sustained period of -'ve SAM, yet.
Been watching this closely
Hotham has been to the well too many times now with this. It’s now plain annoying.
As annoying as a Chris Hocking "ski pole depth test" photo?
I just did and loved the snow.
Only thing making me feel slightly better as I sit at my desk in Melbourne is knowing that line for Tyrol T must suck.
Yeah single snowboarders doubling the wait time does grate.
Tonight is going to be chaos at Buller.
Just roll up next to them like wassup brah and ride together.
I reckon it will be Buller’s busiest weekend this season so far.
So much hype.
They'd be much better off running convoys. Tomorrow morning will be chaos at Baw Baw.
For a Friday yeah, but likely due to much wind hold up top so may ease as wind drops.
And seeing snow on cams so maybe more lifts to open.
Need a bigger shovel.
There's a thread up for it @Jwintermix
It's looking a little like an early peaker + ridging clipper. Still likely to have 5-15cm at the moment.
ok can you move the post.
I'll just redirect your query, one moment, pls.....
@Claude Cat @Kletterer
No, snow floats - it's small & light so travels with wind, not static like us who 'feel' the wind chill and act in resistance to it's force.
Wind chill is a scientific value for humans exclusively.
And I have to watch a game I don’t really like being a Rah Rah until then just to hope to see some flakeage in my old town.. I should change my moniker to Ski.Com Tragic... I truely miss the simple days of just bugging out of town on a PREDICTION. Hard to do from Brisbane (did I escape a ‘stay on topic’ sanction?)
Certainly is, the watching it on the AFL coverage!
Under those lights, it'd be amplified.
Yes I have now been informed of this. I think she is sick of Thredbo, Perisher is better after all.
That Higgins crap sure loves an EXTREME EVENT!
Lol @ Higgins, again blowing reality out of proportion and into MSM levels.
Try hards AFL.
This was proper snow.
Anyway, I meant in Aussie terms.
In terms of our next potential snow-bearing system, I am thinking 25th to the 29th/30th of August.
Could be the possible apex system. Something to watch.
Next LWT node due 26th-28th of August.
Yes. Hope this turns into something good
AAO still on track to help...
Looking at the -AAO, zonal winds at our latitude, MJO in our region, the solid potential for the 25th-29th Aug period, and more...
And even a freshly minted new domain coming soon. August vibes are good.
I am seeing another warming pulse in the Southern Polar Vort, another disruption to the AAO circulation. Hence the secondary dip in the next week to 10 days.
I am inclined to see it slow things up a bit and push through our region 29th August - 1st Sep. Mightn't be as strong as what we've just seen, but it's definitely already presenting itself.
EC Ensembles this morning pointing to a big follow up pulse ~22/23rd, to the marginal stuff next week.
My next long weekend scheduled
Long line up for my bread and pie from Bruthen bakery today. Plenty of happy punters heading back from Hotham the more scenic route via Bairnsdale.
Drop into the BlueBee and say gidday to the owner (Joel) one day mate.
Decent shower activity for East Gippy today/tomorrow.
Cold Front approaching Byron & the QLD border heading NNE (40 knots!), now there's something you don't see every winter:
EPS (EC ensembles) showing some coldfront activity around the 26th-27th.
GFS 06Z really manhandles that ridge from 19-24th... Signal showing for the 23rd.
Same trailing High as the one backing the system on the 19th, just on the rollback: